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Stats as of

Polymarket

noreasapa

0x4ad6cadefae3c28f5b2caa32a99ebba3a614464c

+$11.4K
Tracked Trades
175
First Seen
Aug 23, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Esports
100% won · 95 settled · +$9.1K

This trader is a closer

98% of this trader's buys are at 95¢ or higher, on outcomes that are nearly decided. The win rate is high because the odds are short: copying them risks 95¢ or more to make 5¢ or less. If you want better odds, skip their 95¢+ buys or pick someone else.

noreasapa is a Polymarket trader with 175 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 171 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $11.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? on Nov 4.

Win rate
100%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$2.3M
Typical trade
$6.3K
Avg entry
100¢
Polymarket rank
#1,766

Profit over time

+$11.4K+$0.00
Aug 23Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Over 80¢17599%100%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$502 to $3.0K44100%+$192.34
$3.1K to $6.3K44100%+$484.44
$6.8K to $13K44100%+$1.0K
$13K to $170K43100%+$9.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Esports99100%+$9.1K
Fed and rates42100%+$829.73
Tech and AI10100%+$759.73
World politics11100%+$358.55
Bitcoin2100%+$144.00
US elections4100%+$60.29

Side taken

Yes 19%81% No

If you had copied noreasapa

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$32.02
Profit
on $7,900.00 staked
79-0
Record
100% win rate
+0%
Return
Profit over time79 settled trades
+$32.02+$0.00
Aug 17Oct 26
None
Max drawdown
never fell below its peak
—
Return / drawdown
no dip to weigh against
—
Profit factor
nothing lost yet
+0.4 pts
Edge vs implied
100% won at 100¢ avg
Longest losing streak
0
Deepest drawdown
0 trades

By category

finance7 settled+1%
sports51 settled+0%
politics5 settled+0%
culture15 settled+0%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Nov 4
Yes100¢$12.2K+$12.20
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Nov 4
No100¢$14.0K+$14.18
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Nov 4
Yes100¢$15.5K+$15.50
See every position across 83 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
    $132.6K on Aurora Gaming at 95¢, Oct 25
    +$7.4K
  2. 2
    Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?
    $130.3K on No at 100¢, Sep 30
    +$655.00
  3. 3
    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $54.7K on No at 99¢, Sep 4
    +$324.99
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs100¢1100%+$170.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?100¢2100%+$144.00
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage100¢3100%+$138.71
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner95¢6100%+$7.4K
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?100¢3100%+$655.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$17.18
Sep 2026+$1.2K
Oct 2026+$10.1K
Nov 2026+$60.29

How they build positions

Opened a new position67%
Added to a position30%
Trimmed a position3%

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