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Stats as of

lightningbolts

0x515d285a7d5065d0406db39f8626313502c80340

+$87.2K
Tracked Trades
500
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Esports
66% won · 500 settled · +$87.2K

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active sports traders who bet one side: BreakTheBank, Woaifacai, RichieRicher

lightningbolts is a Polymarket trader with 500 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 329 wins and 171 losses on settled markets, $87.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs on Nov 4.

Win rate
66%
Return on settled
+13%
Money traded
$691.3K
Typical trade
$936.87
Avg entry
56¢
Polymarket rank
#453

Profit over time

+$93.0K-$448.00
Aug 20Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢4631%26%-5 pts
40 to 60¢21151%60%+9 pts
60 to 80¢23870%79%+9 pts
Over 80¢582%40%-42 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $67612568%+$13.3K
$677 to $93712562%+$8.8K
$937 to $1.7K12560%+$2.5K
$1.8K to $9.5K12573%+$62.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Esports50066%+$87.2K

If you had copied lightningbolts

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$2,783.59
Profit
on $21,100.00 staked
135-76
Record
64% win rate
+13%
Return
Profit over time211 settled trades
+$3.0K+$0.00
Aug 17Nov 2
-$523.07
Max drawdown
31% below peak
5.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.37×
Profit factor
$10.4K won vs $7.6K lost
+7.6 pts
Edge vs implied
64% won at 56¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
8 trades

By category

sports211 settled+13%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
Nov 4, 18 fills
Invictus Gaming75¢$33.7K+$11.2K
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
Nov 3, 3 fills
Top Esports43¢$3.3K-$3.3K
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Nov 3
Invictus Gaming28¢$974.69-$974.69
See every position across 178 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
    $33.7K on Invictus Gaming at 75¢, Nov 4
    +$11.2K
  2. 2
    LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner
    $4.1K on HANJIN BRION at 27¢, Aug 26
    +$11.1K
  3. 3
    Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
    $5.4K on Natus Vincere at 37¢, Oct 6
    +$9.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs71¢2186%+$7.9K
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner51¢1136%-$10.1K
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner76¢5100%+$7.0K
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner60¢367%+$2.9K
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner48¢1060%+$3.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$22.7K
Sep 2026+$23.7K
Oct 2026+$36.5K
Nov 2026+$4.3K

How they build positions

Opened a new position98%
Added to a position2%

Polymarket leaderboards

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