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Stats as of

nole-ksum

0x53939a943b5d8d1156a774179a58acae4247966a

+$5.6K
Tracked Trades
842
First Seen
Jan 5, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026
Best In Other politics
42% won · 293 settled · +$4.8K

nole-ksum is a Polymarket trader with 842 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 212 wins and 364 losses on settled markets, $5.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? on Oct 22.

Win rate
37%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$200.2K
Typical trade
$20
Avg entry
59¢
Polymarket rank
#3,107

Profit over time

+$6.2K-$196
Jan 5Oct 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3338%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢12229%28%+0 pts
40 to 60¢6950%58%+8 pts
60 to 80¢7270%66%-4 pts
Over 80¢24695%95%-1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $52118%-$291
$5 to $2021121%+$767
$20 to $10121045%+$2.2K
$103 to $2.6K21095%+$2.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Other politics47042%+$4.8K
Tennis24439%+$128
Soccer3224%-$15
Baseball1523%+$87
Boxing650%+$467
MMA4318%+$172

Side taken

Yes 62%38% No

If you had copied nole-ksum

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$748
Profit
on $36600 staked
139-227
Record
38% win rate
+2%
Return
2 still open
Profit over time366 settled trades
+$8.2K-$1.7K
Jul 27Oct 19
-$9.1K
Max drawdown
100% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.03×
Profit factor
$23.4K won vs $22.7K lost
+0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
38% won at 38¢ avg
Longest losing streak
17
Deepest drawdown
265 trades

By category

politics106 settled+66%
culture5 settled+19%
sports248 settled-25%
crypto7 settled-38%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $50

The markets nole-ksum is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what nole-ksum is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Oct 22
No62¢$100-$100
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?
Oct 21, 7 fills
No40¢sold 100¢$209+$308
Cali: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
Oct 20, 2 fills
Juan Pablo Ficovich15¢$200-$200
See every position across 379 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
    $100 on Yes at 6¢, May 23
    +$1.6K
  2. 2
    Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
    $24 on Yes at 2¢, Aug 19
    +$1.1K
  3. 3
    Moises Itauma vs. Filip Hrgovic
    $100 on Filip Hrgovic at 15¢, Aug 29
    +$567
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?98¢4100%+$88
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?97¢4100%+$69
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?97¢3100%+$82
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?66¢929%+$370
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?95¢2100%+$105

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$50
May 2026+$2.1K
Jun 2026+$1.0K
Jul 2026-$973
Aug 2026+$2.8K
Sep 2026+$477
Oct 2026+$173

How they build positions

Closed a position83%
Trimmed a position17%

Polymarket leaderboards

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