Stats as of
Polymarket0x544e…86dc
0x544e12de6bba96eb093c4347dbc80ce1112b86dc
-$1.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Feb 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 8, 2026
- Best In Other politics
- 10% won · 125 settled · +$208
0x544e…86dc is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 247 wins and 450 losses on settled markets, -$1.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? on Oct 8.
- Win rate
- 35%
- Return on settled
- -10%
- Money traded
- $17.8K
- Typical trade
- $10
- Avg entry
- 20¢
- Polymarket rank
- #3,382
Profit over time
+$109-$1.3K
Feb 11Oct 8
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3426%5%-1 pts
20 to 40¢15531%30%-1 pts
40 to 60¢36250%46%-3 pts
60 to 80¢7768%68%+0 pts
Over 80¢6489%83%-6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $525012%-$57
$5 to $1025039%+$58
$10 to $2425045%-$189
$24 to $12425042%-$960
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin73442%-$1.3K
Other politics2669%+$164
Side taken
Yes 27%73% No
If you had copied 0x544e…86dc
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$9777
Profit
on $12800 staked
13-115
Record
10% win rate
+76%
Return
+$13.8K+$0
Jul 13Oct 5
-$4.0K
Max drawdown
29% below peak
2.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.85×
Profit factor
$21.3K won vs $11.5K lost
+3.6 pts
Edge vs implied
10% won at 7¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 34
- Deepest drawdown
- 69 trades
By category
politics128 settled+76%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Oct 8
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Oct 8, 3 fills
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Oct 8
Biggest wins
- 1+$188Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$12 on Yes at 6¢, Sep 18
- 2+$185Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$107 on Down at 37¢, Feb 13
- 3+$163Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$21 on Yes at 11¢, Aug 9
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET39¢60%-$134
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET90¢2100%+$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET38¢625%-$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET48¢40%-$94
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET43¢533%-$29
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 11Oct 8
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$1.1K
Mar 2026-$225
Apr 2026-$19
Jun 2026-$1
Jul 2026+$17
Aug 2026+$172
Sep 2026+$49
Oct 2026-$74
Polymarket leaderboards
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