rivomarkets

Stats as of

rakuton

0xcd90fe632f3068abe89a15503a22c364db494bfc

+$2.6K
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Aug 3, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 30, 2026

rakuton is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 233 wins and 401 losses on settled markets, $2.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30? on Sep 30.

Win rate
37%
Return on settled
+13%
Money traded
$27.8K
Typical trade
$12
Avg entry
26¢
Polymarket rank
#7,185

Profit over time

+$3.9K-$40
Aug 3Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2919%11%+2 pts
20 to 40¢40630%36%+5 pts
40 to 60¢23949%56%+7 pts
60 to 80¢5667%72%+4 pts
Over 80¢889%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $525019%-$97
$5 to $1225035%+$343
$12 to $3925046%+$1.1K
$39 to $28325046%+$1.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather100037%+$2.6K

Side taken

Yes 94%6% No

If you had copied rakuton

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$6632
Profit
on $63400 staked
233-401
Record
37% win rate
+10%
Return
148 still open
Profit over time634 settled trades
+$11.4K+$0
Aug 3Sep 28
-$9.6K
Max drawdown
61% below peak
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.17×
Profit factor
$46.7K won vs $40.1K lost
+4.7 pts
Edge vs implied
37% won at 32¢ avg
Longest losing streak
35
Deepest drawdown
266 trades

By category

culture634 settled+10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

59 open positions worth $2.4K

The markets rakuton is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what rakuton is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?
Sep 30
Yes60¢$65+$44
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 34°C on September 30?
Sep 30, 3 fills
Yes28¢$150-$150
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 30?
Sep 30, 2 fills
Yes29¢$144-$144
See every position across 438 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?
    $132 on Yes at 24¢, Aug 13
    +$416
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 27?
    $316 on Yes at 44¢, Sep 27
    +$407
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 25?
    $184 on Yes at 32¢, Aug 25
    +$393
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 23?52¢1014%-$29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 29?79¢30%-$179
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 3?46¢80%-$165
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?35¢1292%+$313
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 27?44¢10100%+$407

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 3Sep 30

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$1.9K
Sep 2026+$693

Polymarket leaderboards

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