rivomarkets

errormargin3

0x5a56fe0468618bbd44e0f278c080db59b30610f5

+$66.2K
Tracked Trades
309
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026

errormargin3 is a Polymarket trader with 309 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 142 wins and 103 losses on settled markets, $66.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage on Sep 19.

Win rate
58%
Return on settled
+14%
Money traded
$539.0K
Typical trade
$1.5K
Copy score
52/100
Polymarket rank
#260

Profit over time

+$65.3K-$4.0K
Aug 20Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1414%11%-3 pts
20 to 40¢6332%44%+11 pts
40 to 60¢10150%60%+10 pts
60 to 80¢5068%83%+16 pts
Over 80¢1792%100%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$363 to $9006265%+$18.2K
$900 to $1.5K6149%+$8.6K
$1.5K to $2.4K6156%+$10.5K
$2.4K to $30K6170%+$18.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports24560%+$56.2K

Side taken

Yes 1%99% No

If you had copied errormargin3

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$4200
Profit
on $19800 staked
118-80
Record
60% win rate
+21%
Return
Profit over time198 settled trades
+$4.3K+$0
Aug 17Sep 14
-$1.6K
Max drawdown
70% below peak
2.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.53×
Profit factor
$12.2K won vs $8.0K lost
+10.5 pts
Edge vs implied
60% won at 49¢ avg
Longest losing streak
16
Deepest drawdown
16 trades

By category

sports198 settled+21%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Sep 19, 5 fills, avg 43¢
BUYMOUZ$6.7K-$6.7K
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Sep 19, avg 51¢
SELLMOUZ$676Open
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 22¢
BUYMOUZ$1.6K+$5.7K
See every position across 57 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
    $57.2K on Team Spirit, Aug 23
    +$19.4K
  2. 2
    Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner
    $5.7K on BoomBoys, Aug 20
    +$18.6K
  3. 3
    Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
    $9.5K on TEAM VISION, Aug 23
    +$15.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner2173%+$3.4K
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner1167%-$9.4K
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs2100%+$1.6K
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage7100%+$6.5K
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner10100%+$9.7K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$58.9K
Sep 2026-$2.7K

How they build positions

Opened a new position73%
Closed a position27%

Similar Polymarket traders

Copy errormargin3's next trade the moment it lands.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.