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Stats as of

errormargin

0x5a56fe0468618bbd44e0f278c080db59b30610f5

+$175.8K
Tracked Trades
1,862
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 1, 2026
Best In Esports
59% won · 1,406 settled · +$183.6K

errormargin is a Polymarket trader with 1,862 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 860 wins and 588 losses on settled markets, $175.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner on Nov 1.

Win rate
59%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$3.5M
Typical trade
$1.2K
Avg entry
56¢
Polymarket rank
#258

Profit over time

+$186.1K-$16.6K
Aug 20Nov 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5615%7%-8 pts
20 to 40¢34932%32%+0 pts
40 to 60¢65751%57%+6 pts
60 to 80¢57069%73%+5 pts
Over 80¢23089%94%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$363 to $92846647%-$713.50
$929 to $1.2K46652%-$14.4K
$1.2K to $2.1K46565%+$178.3K
$2.1K to $30K46569%+$12.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Esports181859%+$183.6K
MMA4462%-$7.8K

Side taken

Yes 100%0% No

If you had copied errormargin

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$2,034.64
Profit
on $36,300.00 staked
205-158
Record
56% win rate
+6%
Return
Profit over time363 settled trades
+$2.0K+$0.00
Aug 17Oct 26
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
74% below peak
1.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.13×
Profit factor
$17.8K won vs $15.8K lost
+3.8 pts
Edge vs implied
56% won at 53¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
91 trades

By category

sports363 settled+6%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
Nov 1
Team Spirit77¢$3.1K+$908.50
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
Nov 1
Team Yandex53¢$2.0K-$2.0K
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Nov 1, 11 fills
Team Spirit67¢sold 78¢$17.6K+$8.7K
See every position across 287 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
    $36.6K on GamerLegion at 51¢, Oct 23
    +$35.3K
  2. 2
    Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner
    $18.5K on OG at 41¢, Oct 3
    +$26.7K
  3. 3
    Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
    $20.0K on Team Spirit at 46¢, Oct 3
    +$23.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner68¢4063%+$11.2K
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner83¢2875%-$283.82
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner64¢2173%+$3.4K
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner86¢1754%-$1.8K
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner64¢2776%+$5.9K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 4Nov 1

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$58.9K
Sep 2026-$27.5K
Oct 2026+$148.3K
Nov 2026-$4.0K

How they build positions

Opened a new position38%
Closed a position32%
Trimmed a position24%
Added to a position5%

Polymarket leaderboards

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