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Stats as of

fractional

0x5cebd4d7a6bc79afb7c30c97bd830c946028b821

+$4.6K
Tracked Trades
80
First Seen
May 24, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 15, 2026
Best In MMA
54% won · 37 settled · +$3.1K

fractional is a Polymarket trader with 80 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 39 wins and 32 losses on settled markets, $4.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card) on Oct 15.

Win rate
55%
Return on settled
+11%
Money traded
$51.7K
Typical trade
$521
Avg entry
54¢
Polymarket rank
#1,672

Profit over time

+$11.0K-$341
May 24Oct 15

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢214%0%-14 pts
20 to 40¢635%50%+16 pts
40 to 60¢4148%51%+4 pts
60 to 80¢2669%61%-8 pts
Over 80¢589%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$3 to $3002050%+$502
$306 to $5172058%+$935
$525 to $7702044%-$3.3K
$779 to $2.0K2071%+$6.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
MMA4554%+$3.1K
WNBA3556%+$1.5K

If you had copied fractional

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$356
Profit
on $5300 staked
29-24
Record
55% win rate
+7%
Return
4 still open
Profit over time53 settled trades
+$770-$319
Jul 27Oct 12
-$600
Max drawdown
63% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.15×
Profit factor
$2.8K won vs $2.4K lost
+1.3 pts
Edge vs implied
55% won at 53¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
6 trades

By category

sports53 settled+7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $3.6K

The markets fractional is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what fractional is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)
Oct 15, 2 fills
Kyle Daukaus64¢$1.4K-$1.4K
UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
Oct 13, 2 fills
Erin Blanchfield76¢$3.8K-$3.8K
UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)
Oct 9, 2 fills
Matheus Camilo63¢$1.3K-$1.3K
See every position across 61 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
    $3.9K on Christian Edwards at 38¢, Sep 26
    +$6.3K
  2. 2
    UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
    $5.6K on Natalia Silva at 65¢, Oct 3
    +$3.0K
  3. 3
    UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
    $1.0K on Luana Santos at 50¢, Jun 20
    +$1.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)65¢4100%+$3.0K
UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)38¢2100%+$6.3K
UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)76¢20%-$3.8K
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)82¢2100%+$308
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)50¢2100%+$1.0K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 18Oct 15

Profit by month

May 2026+$484
Jun 2026+$802
Jul 2026-$729
Aug 2026+$539
Sep 2026+$7.6K
Oct 2026-$4.1K

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