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Stats as of

8396239287

0x5d83c3963c790b9760e6ac0e55878320cafa0bb9

+$10.4K
Tracked Trades
940
First Seen
Mar 17, 2024
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Companies
71% won · 276 settled · +$8.3K

8396239287 is a Polymarket trader with 940 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 468 wins and 259 losses on settled markets, $10.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 7, 2026? on Nov 3.

Win rate
64%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$295.0K
Typical trade
$94.18
Avg entry
66¢
Polymarket rank
#1,872

Profit over time

+$15.9K-$950.00
Mar 17Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1218%23%+15 pts
20 to 40¢17628%32%+4 pts
40 to 60¢13251%55%+4 pts
60 to 80¢20071%80%+9 pts
Over 80¢31191%92%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2223540%+$1.1K
$22 to $9423560%+$3.8K
$95 to $29123575%+$6.2K
$293 to $10.0K23581%-$725.22

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Companies33971%+$8.3K
Tech and AI12662%-$753.24
US elections6163%+$1.6K
Bitcoin13750%-$79.87
US politics7049%+$312.39
World politics2867%-$3.9K

Side taken

Yes 53%47% No

If you had copied 8396239287

$100 per bet, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

2 of 5 needed have resolved. 5 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $2.5K

The markets 8396239287 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 8396239287 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 3
Yes95¢$4.8K+$250.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Oct 28, 3 fills
Yes78¢$6.2K+$1.8K
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
Mar 6, 2 fills
No66¢sold 97¢$83.83+$43.35
See every position across 295 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
    $2.6K on No at 38¢, Dec 2
    +$4.3K
  2. 2
    Will xAI have a #1 AI model this year?
    $2.1K on Yes at 41¢, Feb 18
    +$3.0K
  3. 3
    Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
    $912.57 on Yes at 25¢, May 14
    +$2.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?95¢6100%+$675.50
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?43¢9745%-$575.68
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?96¢10100%+$558.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?95¢20%-$7.6K
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?81¢1492%+$1.2K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

May 2025-$2.2K
Jun 2025+$695.68
Jul 2025+$1.7K
Aug 2025+$177.67
Oct 2025-$925.61
Nov 2025+$5.1K
Dec 2025-$6.38
Jan 2026-$277.64
Feb 2026-$8.3K
Mar 2026+$1.2K
Oct 2026+$1.8K
Nov 2026+$250.00

How they build positions

Opened a new position100%

Polymarket leaderboards

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