Polymarketarbandy
0x5eb0cd907aa0b7b4df11552e817570e265ea5012
+$5.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 276
- First Seen
- Aug 21, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 14, 2026
arbandy is a Polymarket trader with 276 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 33 wins and 31 losses on settled markets, $5.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? on Sep 14.
- Win rate
- 52%
- Return on settled
- +8%
- Money traded
- $339.0K
- Typical trade
- $973
- Copy score
- 40/100
- Polymarket rank
- #1,160
Profit over time
+$7.3K-$10.4K
Aug 22Sep 11
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3215%7%-8 pts
20 to 40¢5130%45%+15 pts
40 to 60¢6451%70%+18 pts
60 to 80¢7171%38%-34 pts
Over 80¢5885%100%+15 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$360 to $6446962%+$4.8K
$650 to $9736937%+$178
$973 to $1.6K6925%-$9.5K
$1.6K to $6.9K6983%+$10.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Culture16465%-$2.6K
Politics6373%+$7.2K
Crypto3224%-$6.5K
Finance7100%+$5.0K
Sports1043%+$2.5K
Side taken
Yes 48%52% No
If you had copied arbandy
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$528
Profit
on $6400 staked
33-31
Record
52% win rate
+8%
Return
122 still open
+$528-$100
Aug 17Sep 7
-$1.1K
Max drawdown
654% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.17×
Profit factor
$3.6K won vs $3.1K lost
+5.1 pts
Edge vs implied
52% won at 46¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 8
- Deepest drawdown
- 25 trades
By category
politics11 settled+86%
sports7 settled+55%
culture23 settled-3%
crypto21 settled-44%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
39 open positions worth $139.0K
The markets arbandy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?
Sep 14, 2 fills, avg 81¢
No one announced as next James Bond?
Sep 12, 8 fills, avg 22¢
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?
Sep 12, 2 fills, avg 91¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$11.0KUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?$8.4K on Yes, Sep 9
- 2+$5.0KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$5.0K on Yes, Sep 4
- 3+$4.7KManchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 5.5$1.3K on Over, Aug 30
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?28+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?2073%+$7.2K
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?11+$0
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?14+$0
No one announced as next James Bond?12+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 17Sep 14
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$1.9K
Sep 2026+$3.6K
How they build positions
Trimmed a position75%
Closed a position16%
Opened a new position7%
Added to a position2%
Similar Polymarket traders
Copy arbandy's next trade the moment it lands.
Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.