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Stats as of
Polymarketwrittensmoke
0x5f1d2dd97566988e55115be75b352ffef2a6c41d
+$2.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 920
- First Seen
- Sep 22, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 6, 2026
- Best In Weather
- 47% won · 702 settled · +$2.2K
writtensmoke is a Polymarket trader with 920 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 330 wins and 372 losses on settled markets, $2.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 6? on Oct 6.
- Win rate
- 47%
- Return on settled
- +12%
- Money traded
- $33.2K
- Typical trade
- $25.00
- Avg entry
- 29¢
- Polymarket rank
- #8,039
Profit over time
+$2.4K-$65.00
Sep 22Oct 6
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢20710%17%+7 pts
20 to 40¢12929%28%-1 pts
40 to 60¢14051%52%+1 pts
60 to 80¢15369%73%+3 pts
Over 80¢29195%90%-5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1123033%+$499.89
$11 to $2523046%+$1.3K
$25 to $4623051%+$273.25
$46 to $97623070%+$91.03
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Weather92047%+$2.2K
Side taken
Yes 45%55% No
If you had copied writtensmoke
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$8,212.12
Profit
on $33,600.00 staked
150-186
Record
45% win rate
+24%
Return
+$8.2K+$0.00
Aug 3Oct 5
-$2.5K
Max drawdown
33% below peak
3.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.44×
Profit factor
$26.8K won vs $18.6K lost
+2.4 pts
Edge vs implied
45% won at 42¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 14
- Deepest drawdown
- 69 trades
By category
culture336 settled+24%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 6?
Oct 6
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 6?
Oct 6
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 6?
Oct 6
Biggest wins
- 1+$872.01Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 28?$108.00 on Yes at 11¢, Jan 28
- 2+$302.50Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 10?$16.30 on Yes at 5¢, Aug 10
- 3+$266.70Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 12?$43.00 on Yes at 14¢, Nov 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 28?11¢5100%+$872.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or higher on January 8?71¢4100%+$64.54
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?38¢2100%+$160.03
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 10?5¢2100%+$302.50
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 24?7¢2100%+$237.71
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 9Oct 6
Profit by month
Sep 2025-$9.60
Oct 2025-$0.04
Nov 2025+$359.36
Dec 2025+$22.64
Jan 2026+$873.21
Feb 2026-$410.45
Mar 2026-$120.00
May 2026+$373.54
Jun 2026-$110.18
Aug 2026+$313.65
Sep 2026+$727.51
Oct 2026+$149.90
Polymarket leaderboards
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