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Stats as of

HD45

0x600e42758bfc14e431c43d71c96e9bca6c147aac

+$36.2K
Tracked Trades
57
First Seen
Aug 24, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 1, 2026
Best In US elections
79% won · 24 settled · +$44.7K

HD45 is a Polymarket trader with 57 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 26 wins and 20 losses on settled markets, $36.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? on Nov 1.

Win rate
57%
Return on settled
+53%
Money traded
$85.1K
Typical trade
$1.0K
Avg entry
45¢
Polymarket rank
#887

Profit over time

+$55.9K-$3.4K
Aug 24Oct 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢316%50%+34 pts
20 to 40¢1929%76%+47 pts
40 to 60¢1548%100%+52 pts
60 to 80¢1968%0%-68 pts
Over 80¢194%100%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$506 to $7001562%+$7.6K
$700 to $1.0K1440%+$5.6K
$1.0K to $1.8K1450%+$10.3K
$2.0K to $4.7K1473%+$12.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics2732%-$8.5K
US elections3079%+$44.7K

Side taken

Yes 49%51% No

If you had copied HD45

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$1,565.06
Profit
on $1,600.00 staked
10-6
Record
63% win rate
+98%
Return
4 still open
Profit over time16 settled trades
+$1.6K-$218.18
Aug 24Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 16 so far.

By category

politics16 settled+98%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $1.8K

The markets HD45 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what HD45 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Oct 30, 4 fills
No71¢sold 59¢$3.5KExited
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Oct 28
Yes23¢$565.51+$1.9K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Oct 28, 4 fills
Yes42¢sold 43¢$6.1K+$8.4K
See every position across 18 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
    $6.4K on No at 30¢, Oct 6
    +$14.6K
  2. 2
    Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
    $6.8K on No at 44¢, Oct 7
    +$8.8K
  3. 3
    Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
    $6.1K on Yes at 42¢, Oct 7
    +$8.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?70¢70%-$15.2K
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?58¢3100%+$4.2K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?44¢5100%+$8.8K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?42¢4100%+$8.4K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?71¢4+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 4Nov 1

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$3.0K
Sep 2026+$32.4K
Oct 2026+$6.8K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position50%
Opened a new position33%
Added to a position17%

Polymarket leaderboards

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