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Stats as of

whichtopick

0x60981c80496a113d5dac9965569d6b848a32c419

+$10.2K
Tracked Trades
613
First Seen
Feb 16, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In World politics
18% won · 260 settled · +$9.4K

whichtopick is a Polymarket trader with 613 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 68 wins and 272 losses on settled markets, $10.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? on Nov 3.

Win rate
20%
Return on settled
+38%
Money traded
$71.7K
Typical trade
$25.00
Avg entry
13¢
Polymarket rank
#1,877

Profit over time

+$11.6K-$3.0K
Feb 16Oct 31

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3277%5%-2 pts
20 to 40¢10227%20%-8 pts
40 to 60¢9950%22%-28 pts
60 to 80¢5168%80%+12 pts
Over 80¢3497%100%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $615412%-$145.76
$6 to $2515318%-$1.1K
$25 to $9615316%-$1.9K
$96 to $3.9K15340%+$13.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics51618%+$9.4K
Tech and AI7100%+$2.23
Companies1620%+$1.7K
Mentions120%-$794.27
Bitcoin2825%+$4.60
Hockey1030%-$113.26

Side taken

Yes 49%51% No

If you had copied whichtopick

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$1,580.95
Profit
on $4,600.00 staked
14-32
Record
30% win rate
-34%
Return
14 still open
Profit over time46 settled trades
+$0.00-$1.6K
Sep 21Nov 2
-$1.7K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.51×
Profit factor
$1.6K won vs $3.2K lost
-1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 32¢ avg
Longest losing streak
10
Deepest drawdown
38 trades

By category

crypto12 settled+20%
politics32 settled-54%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

5 open positions worth $4.0K

The markets whichtopick is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what whichtopick is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Nov 3, 34 fills
No19¢sold 21¢$4.0KExited
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Nov 3, 12 fills
No57¢sold 60¢$1.1KExited
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Nov 3, 11 fills
No64¢sold 94¢$2.0K+$1.1K
See every position across 138 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
    $1.8K on No at 15¢, Oct 31
    +$10.6K
  2. 2
    Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
    $456.00 on Yes at 6¢, Feb 25
    +$7.5K
  3. 3
    US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
    $949.40 on No at 32¢, Oct 31
    +$2.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?19¢37+$0.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?13¢495%-$3.7K
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?15¢13100%+$10.6K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?50¢15+$0.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?64¢1286%+$1.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Feb 2026+$4.5K
Mar 2026-$1.4K
May 2026-$230.44
Jun 2026-$248.42
Jul 2026+$2.0K
Sep 2026-$748.68
Oct 2026+$6.3K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position75%
Closed a position25%

Polymarket leaderboards

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