rivomarkets

lava-lava

0x629bc4a1e53e1d475beb7ea3d388791e96dd995a

+$2.8K
Tracked Trades
301
First Seen
Aug 24, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026

lava-lava is a Polymarket trader with 301 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 51 wins and 41 losses on settled markets, $2.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? on Sep 19.

Win rate
55%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$382.2K
Typical trade
$926
Copy score
45/100
Polymarket rank
#1,358

Profit over time

+$9.2K-$14.8K
Aug 24Sep 16

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2114%43%+29 pts
20 to 40¢4631%0%-31 pts
40 to 60¢7851%40%-11 pts
60 to 80¢8170%77%+7 pts
Over 80¢4787%94%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $7086946%+$5.8K
$711 to $9266856%-$1.7K
$933 to $1.5K6858%-$2.7K
$1.5K to $14K6867%+$1.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Politics25153%+$167
Culture10+$0
Crypto1275%+$2.6K

Side taken

Yes 35%65% No

If you had copied lava-lava

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$588
Profit
on $9200 staked
51-41
Record
55% win rate
+6%
Return
170 still open
Profit over time92 settled trades
+$588-$55
Aug 24Sep 14
-$2.4K
Max drawdown
590% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.14×
Profit factor
$4.7K won vs $4.1K lost
-3.3 pts
Edge vs implied
55% won at 59¢ avg
Longest losing streak
13
Deepest drawdown
41 trades

By category

politics80 settled+8%
crypto12 settled-4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

57 open positions worth $249.2K

The markets lava-lava is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what lava-lava is holding

Recent positions

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Sep 19, 10 fills, avg 73¢
BUYNO$25.9KOpen
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Sep 19, 5 fills, avg 75¢
BUYYES$17.8KOpen
Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Sep 19, avg 63¢
BUYNO$2.8KOpen
See every position across 80 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?
    $4.5K on No, Sep 6
    +$14.5K
  2. 2
    Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?
    $8.1K on SPD, Sep 6
    +$5.0K
  3. 3
    Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
    $15.0K on No, Sep 6
    +$4.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?16+$0
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?15+$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?10+$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?23+$0
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?6+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$8.2K
Sep 2026-$5.4K

How they build positions

Opened a new position37%
Added to a position31%
Trimmed a position29%
Closed a position3%

Similar Polymarket traders

Copy lava-lava's next trade the moment it lands.

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