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Stats as of

aikko

0x68d1b156197fc516c56fc95d325b3716322c3c4d

+$17.5K
Tracked Trades
1,002
First Seen
Mar 30, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026
Best In Companies
82% won · 514 settled · +$18.7K

aikko is a Polymarket trader with 1,002 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 611 wins and 126 losses on settled markets, $17.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027? on Oct 22.

Win rate
83%
Return on settled
+9%
Money traded
$251.9K
Typical trade
$94.85
Avg entry
74¢
Polymarket rank
#1,314

Profit over time

+$17.8K-$58.00
Mar 31Oct 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1397%15%+7 pts
20 to 40¢6729%38%+8 pts
40 to 60¢7350%80%+30 pts
60 to 80¢17271%93%+22 pts
Over 80¢55194%95%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2725164%+$1.1K
$27 to $9525181%+$7.1K
$96 to $30925093%+$4.7K
$310 to $5.4K25093%+$4.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Companies70682%+$18.7K
Tech and AI24385%-$1.2K
Weather2282%-$586.04
World politics2100%+$90.00
Other crypto3100%+$147.12
Economic data1773%+$171.65

Side taken

Yes 56%44% No

If you had copied aikko

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$74.03
Profit
on $1,400.00 staked
13-1
Record
93% win rate
-5%
Return
Profit over time14 settled trades
+$14.33-$78.27
Aug 17Oct 19

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 14 so far.

By category

culture11 settled+2%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?
Oct 22, 2 fills
Yes98¢$10.8K+$217.74
Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on September 28, 2026?
Sep 22
No100¢$18.04+$0.02
Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on October 5, 2026?
Sep 22
No100¢$60.05+$0.06
See every position across 284 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
    $1.0K on Yes at 13¢, Apr 30
    +$6.7K
  2. 2
    Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
    $2.6K on No at 51¢, Nov 18
    +$2.5K
  3. 3
    Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
    $3.6K on Yes at 67¢, Dec 31
    +$1.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?98¢2100%+$217.74
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?59¢2765%-$187.42
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?73¢2283%+$983.90
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?99¢4100%+$48.08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?74¢667%+$456.87

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

Nov 2025+$6.1K
Dec 2025+$3.4K
Jan 2026-$5.90
Feb 2026-$2.2K
Mar 2026+$536.77
Apr 2026+$7.9K
May 2026-$1.1K
Jun 2026+$483.39
Jul 2026+$21.03
Aug 2026+$36.07
Sep 2026+$60.69
Oct 2026+$217.74

How they build positions

Opened a new position100%

Polymarket leaderboards

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