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Stats as of

gelugon

0x75d3c1fad4ec173bcde6516b308392bd8482de26

+$4.7K
Tracked Trades
472
First Seen
Jul 29, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 26, 2026
Best In World politics
71% won · 136 settled · +$2.5K

gelugon is a Polymarket trader with 472 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 158 wins and 76 losses on settled markets, $4.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? on Oct 26.

Win rate
68%
Return on settled
+10%
Money traded
$99.8K
Typical trade
$106
Avg entry
62¢
Polymarket rank
#2,249

Profit over time

+$4.7K-$231
Jul 29Oct 25

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7210%6%-4 pts
20 to 40¢5129%23%-6 pts
40 to 60¢5250%52%+2 pts
60 to 80¢12473%86%+13 pts
Over 80¢17390%97%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $3611839%-$479
$36 to $10611856%+$240
$106 to $21111885%+$861
$217 to $7.1K11891%+$4.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics28671%+$2.5K
US politics3561%+$510
Fed and rates2644%+$942
Tech and AI6+$0
Commodities1183%+$179
Entertainment1967%+$227

Side taken

Yes 44%56% No

If you had copied gelugon

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$11
Profit
on $700 staked
5-2
Record
71% win rate
-2%
Return
4 still open
Profit over time7 settled trades
+$72-$100
Jul 27Oct 19

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 7 so far.

By category

politics5 settled-23%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $6.8K

The markets gelugon is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what gelugon is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 26, 3 fills
Yes85¢sold 100¢$6.8K+$1.2K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 25, 2 fills
No16¢sold 14¢$803-$803
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Oct 25
Sold Yessold 60¢$533Exited
See every position across 209 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $6.8K on Yes at 85¢, Oct 25
    +$1.2K
  2. 2
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $4.1K on Yes at 80¢, Sep 16
    +$1.0K
  3. 3
    US forces enter Iran by March 31?
    $2.0K on No at 75¢, Mar 26
    +$651
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?59¢550%+$389
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?71¢3+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?80¢2100%+$1.0K
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?71¢5+$0
US forces enter Iran by March 31?75¢10100%+$651

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 29Oct 26

Profit by month

Oct 2025+$1
Nov 2025-$29
Dec 2025+$880
Jan 2026+$1.2K
Feb 2026-$162
Mar 2026+$2.1K
Apr 2026-$582
May 2026-$540
Jun 2026+$16
Jul 2026-$23
Sep 2026+$1.6K
Oct 2026+$389

How they build positions

Trimmed a position60%
Closed a position20%
Opened a new position20%

Polymarket leaderboards

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