Stats as of
PolymarketNabFire11
0x75de4e9b93fdf60bd9175694f6ed108b5acd98c0
-$5.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,009
- First Seen
- Mar 17, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 16, 2026
- Best In Weather
- 93% won · 114 settled · +$384
NabFire11 is a Polymarket trader with 1,009 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 585 wins and 185 losses on settled markets, -$5.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 17? on Oct 16.
- Win rate
- 76%
- Return on settled
- -4%
- Money traded
- $209.9K
- Typical trade
- $100
- Avg entry
- 82¢
- Polymarket rank
- #7,270
Profit over time
+$300-$6.2K
Mar 17Oct 16
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢13911%15%+4 pts
20 to 40¢10427%23%-4 pts
40 to 60¢3248%35%-14 pts
60 to 80¢3972%71%-1 pts
Over 80¢69596%94%-2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1525330%-$159
$15 to $10025285%-$863
$100 to $30025296%+$689
$300 to $2.0K25289%-$4.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Other politics40558%-$2.0K
Stocks and indices23596%-$3.5K
Weather14193%+$384
US politics15875%+$375
Soccer5749%-$507
World politics1275%+$160
Side taken
Yes 40%60% No
If you had copied NabFire11
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$231
Profit
on $21000 staked
193-17
Record
92% win rate
-1%
Return
+$166-$295
Jul 20Oct 12
-$567
Max drawdown
285% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.86×
Profit factor
$1.5K won vs $1.7K lost
-1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
92% won at 93¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 3
- Deepest drawdown
- 149 trades
By category
culture114 settled-0%
politics96 settled-2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 17?
Oct 16, 2 fills
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 16?
Oct 16, 3 fills
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?
Oct 15
Biggest wins
- 1+$477Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$993 on Yes at 68¢, Jun 12
- 2+$473Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 17?$2.0K on No at 81¢, Oct 16
- 3+$300Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?$1.6K on Yes at 84¢, Oct 7
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?85¢843%-$667
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?98¢2100%+$26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?93¢740%-$1.9K
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?89¢3100%+$147
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 16?93¢3100%+$27
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 19Oct 16
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$3.6K
Apr 2026-$117
May 2026-$707
Jun 2026-$347
Jul 2026-$564
Aug 2026-$111
Sep 2026+$151
Oct 2026+$139
How they build positions
Closed a position50%
Trimmed a position50%
Polymarket leaderboards
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