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Stats as of

Novatan

0x7e25f3dbd55afd690302c4abcd8c3fb182d39712

+$14.6K
Tracked Trades
60
First Seen
Aug 27, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 24, 2026

Novatan is a Polymarket trader with 60 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 21 wins and 15 losses on settled markets, $14.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? on Oct 24.

Win rate
58%
Return on settled
+22%
Money traded
$107.9K
Typical trade
$1.4K
Avg entry
45¢
Polymarket rank
#1,534

Profit over time

+$14.6K-$4.1K
Aug 27Oct 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢812%25%+13 pts
20 to 40¢1626%22%-4 pts
40 to 60¢1549%43%-6 pts
60 to 80¢468%67%-2 pts
Over 80¢1789%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $7851511%-$974.70
$818 to $1.4K1555%+$890.91
$1.4K to $2.1K15100%+$6.5K
$2.2K to $11K1567%+$8.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates640%+$6.5K
Other crypto12100%+$10.9K
US elections11100%+$594.52
Entertainment1240%-$5.3K
Tech and AI6100%+$3.5K
World politics90%-$2.0K

Side taken

Yes 59%41% No

If you had copied Novatan

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$84.01
Profit
on $2,300.00 staked
13-10
Record
57% win rate
+4%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time23 settled trades
+$84.01-$531.85
Aug 24Oct 19
-$600.00
Max drawdown
880% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.08×
Profit factor
$1.1K won vs $1.0K lost
+3.3 pts
Edge vs implied
57% won at 53¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
6 trades

By category

politics5 settled+56%
culture12 settled-14%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $7.6K

The markets Novatan is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Novatan is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Oct 24, 3 fills
No89¢sold 87¢$2.0K+$253.08
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Oct 24, 3 fills
Yes89¢sold 87¢$2.8K+$341.44
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?
Oct 23, 4 fills
Yes25¢sold 10¢$4.0KExited
See every position across 27 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Fed rate hike in 2026?
    $21.4K on Yes at 66¢, Aug 30
    +$11.0K
  2. 2
    LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?
    $2.1K on Yes at 27¢, Sep 8
    +$5.7K
  3. 3
    Trump renames AI by September 30?
    $777.55 on Yes at 18¢, Sep 27
    +$3.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Fed rate hike in 2026?66¢2100%+$11.0K
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?83¢3100%+$1.6K
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?42¢3+$0.00
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?30¢2+$0.00
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?27¢5100%+$5.7K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 27Oct 24

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$5.8K
Sep 2026+$4.1K
Oct 2026+$4.7K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position46%
Closed a position33%
Opened a new position21%

Polymarket leaderboards

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