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Stats as of

TheoThanlwin

0x84000951e537b38cbe481ca993ca9ed08691274c

+$12.1K
Tracked Trades
776
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 1, 2026
Best In Baseball
55% won · 174 settled · +$7.5K

TheoThanlwin is a Polymarket trader with 776 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 464 wins and 275 losses on settled markets, $12.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs on Nov 1.

Win rate
63%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$1.3M
Typical trade
$1.1K
Avg entry
64¢
Polymarket rank
#1,624

Profit over time

+$62.8K-$7.1K
Aug 20Nov 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢617%0%-17 pts
20 to 40¢2233%19%-14 pts
40 to 60¢28550%52%+2 pts
60 to 80¢40470%68%-2 pts
Over 80¢5984%90%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $86119446%-$15.4K
$871 to $1.1K19459%-$2.9K
$1.1K to $2.0K19470%+$17.1K
$2.0K to $7.8K19477%+$13.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Esports47867%+$2.3K
Baseball17955%+$7.5K
NBA3563%+$1.6K
Soccer5146%-$6.0K
College football1369%+$2.7K
NFL1258%+$2.4K

Side taken

Yes 100%0% No

If you had copied TheoThanlwin

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$1,933.86
Profit
on $38,100.00 staked
227-154
Record
60% win rate
-5%
Return
Profit over time381 settled trades
+$615.55-$1.9K
Aug 17Oct 26
-$2.9K
Max drawdown
301% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.87×
Profit factor
$13.5K won vs $15.4K lost
-2.5 pts
Edge vs implied
60% won at 62¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
201 trades

By category

sports380 settled-5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs
Nov 1
Team Yandex51¢$1.6K-$1.6K
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 4 Winner
Oct 31
FURIA66¢$6.2K-$6.2K
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 3 Winner
Oct 31
FURIA67¢$4.2K+$2.1K
See every position across 378 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
    $11.0K on Aurora Gaming at 48¢, Sep 17
    +$11.7K
  2. 2
    Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
    $7.2K on Aurora Gaming at 46¢, Oct 6
    +$8.4K
  3. 3
    Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5
    $4.0K on Over at 34¢, Sep 12
    +$7.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Games Total: O/U 3.573¢2280%+$12.0K
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B43¢70%-$20.5K
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs60¢567%-$4.0K
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs75¢4100%+$4.8K
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A77¢40%-$10.0K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 4Nov 1

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$13.8K
Sep 2026+$34.3K
Oct 2026-$34.3K
Nov 2026-$1.6K

How they build positions

Opened a new position79%
Closed a position16%
Trimmed a position4%
Added to a position1%

Polymarket leaderboards

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