rivomarkets

occasionalAwareness

0x8a4c788f043023b8b28a762216d037e9f148532b

+$18.2K
Tracked Trades
72
First Seen
Aug 21, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026

occasionalAwareness is a Polymarket trader with 72 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 33 wins and 3 losses on settled markets, $18.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? on Sep 19.

Win rate
92%
Return on settled
+36%
Money traded
$120.6K
Typical trade
$1.1K
Copy score
78/100
Polymarket rank
#674

Profit over time

+$18.2K-$2.3K
Sep 6Sep 6

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢515%0%-15 pts
20 to 40¢824%0%-24 pts
40 to 60¢1651%100%+49 pts
60 to 80¢1673%100%+27 pts
Over 80¢2386%100%+14 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $7921780%+$2.4K
$838 to $1.1K17100%+$4.7K
$1.1K to $2.2K1791%+$4.8K
$2.4K to $8.2K17100%+$6.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Crypto2286%+$4.9K
Culture19+$0
Politics2795%+$13.4K

Side taken

Yes 56%44% No

If you had copied occasionalAwareness

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1411
Profit
on $3600 staked
33-3
Record
92% win rate
+39%
Return
5 still open
Profit over time36 settled trades
+$1.4K+$0
Aug 17Sep 14
-$300
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
4.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
5.70×
Profit factor
$1.7K won vs $300 lost
+27.5 pts
Edge vs implied
92% won at 64¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
3 trades

By category

politics22 settled+56%
crypto14 settled+13%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $6.1K

The markets occasionalAwareness is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what occasionalAwareness is holding

Recent positions

Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Sep 19, 3 fills, avg 42¢
BUYYES$4.0KOpen
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?
Sep 18, avg 21¢
BUYUNDER$1.0KOpen
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Sep 18, avg 25¢
SELLYES$963Open
See every position across 13 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
    $19.8K on Yes, Sep 6
    +$9.4K
  2. 2
    Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
    $18.4K on No, Sep 6
    +$6.0K
  3. 3
    Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?
    $9.5K on No, Sep 6
    +$5.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?2086%+$4.9K
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?10100%+$9.4K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?6+$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?7+$0
Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?11100%+$5.2K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$18.2K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position71%
Added to a position19%
Closed a position10%

Similar Polymarket traders

Copy occasionalAwareness's next trade the moment it lands.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.