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Stats as of

occasionalAwareness

0x8a4c788f043023b8b28a762216d037e9f148532b

+$33.0K
Tracked Trades
116
First Seen
Aug 21, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In World politics
90% won · 39 settled · +$23.1K

occasionalAwareness is a Polymarket trader with 116 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 43 wins and 4 losses on settled markets, $33.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? on Nov 3.

Win rate
91%
Return on settled
+41%
Money traded
$392.3K
Typical trade
$1.2K
Avg entry
53¢
Polymarket rank
#805

Profit over time

+$33.0K-$2.3K
Sep 6Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢915%0%-15 pts
20 to 40¢1324%67%+42 pts
40 to 60¢2951%100%+49 pts
60 to 80¢3673%100%+27 pts
Over 80¢2988%100%+12 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $7922980%+$3.6K
$792 to $1.2K29100%+$9.7K
$1.2K to $3.1K2993%+$9.1K
$3.1K to $54K29100%+$10.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Companies42+$0.00
World politics5990%+$23.1K
Tech and AI7+$0.00
US elections8100%+$9.9K

Side taken

Yes 58%42% No

If you had copied occasionalAwareness

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$416.34
Profit
on $1,000.00 staked
7-3
Record
70% win rate
+42%
Return
11 still open
Profit over time10 settled trades
+$416.34+$0.00
Aug 17Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 10 so far.

By category

politics8 settled+60%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

9 open positions worth $177.7K

The markets occasionalAwareness is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what occasionalAwareness is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 3, 6 fills
No77¢$6.5K+$1.9K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Nov 3
No75¢$11.3K+$3.8K
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Nov 3
No72¢$10.8K+$4.2K
See every position across 23 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
    $19.8K on Yes at 68¢, Sep 6
    +$9.4K
  2. 2
    Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
    $18.4K on No at 75¢, Sep 6
    +$6.0K
  3. 3
    Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?
    $1.8K on Under at 24¢, Sep 20
    +$5.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?90¢1+$0.00
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?48¢4+$0.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?8+$0.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?57¢14+$0.00
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?60¢2086%+$4.9K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$23.6K
Oct 2026-$533.97
Nov 2026+$9.9K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position64%
Added to a position15%
Opened a new position13%
Closed a position9%

Polymarket leaderboards

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