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Stats as of

TheElement115

0x8cb3ed8b82e59276ceaef9799287f51dbb450114

+$2.6K
Tracked Trades
18
First Seen
Sep 4, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 14, 2026
Best In Economic data
100% won · 20 settled · +$3.6K

TheElement115 is a Polymarket trader with 18 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 18 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $2.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? on Oct 14.

Win rate
100%
Return on settled
+9%
Money traded
$27.8K
Typical trade
$845
Avg entry
92¢
Polymarket rank
#1,905

Profit over time

+$2.6K+$0
Sep 4Oct 14

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
40 to 60¢153%100%+47 pts
60 to 80¢370%100%+30 pts
Over 80¢1493%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$508 to $6105100%+$766
$649 to $1.0K5100%+$1.0K
$2.0K to $2.0K4100%+$606
$2.7K to $4.0K4100%+$135

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates8100%+$741
Economic data10100%+$1.8K

Side taken

Yes 67%33% No

If you had copied TheElement115

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$329
Profit
on $1800 staked
18-0
Record
100% win rate
+18%
Return
Profit over time18 settled trades
+$329+$0
Aug 31Oct 12

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 18 so far.

By category

finance12 settled+22%
politics5 settled+9%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?
Oct 14, 2 fills
Yes90¢$1.3K+$151
Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
Oct 2, 2 fills
Yes90¢$1.2K+$128
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in September?
Oct 2, 2 fills
Yes65¢$1.0K+$557
See every position across 11 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?
    $659 on No at 53¢, Sep 30
    +$580
  2. 2
    Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in September?
    $1.0K on Yes at 65¢, Oct 2
    +$557
  3. 3
    Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
    $4.0K on Yes at 92¢, Sep 11
    +$368
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?99¢2100%+$81
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?99¢2100%+$54
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?92¢2100%+$368
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?94¢2100%+$238
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?90¢2100%+$151

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 17Oct 14

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$1.7K
Oct 2026+$836

How they build positions

Opened a new position100%

Polymarket leaderboards

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