Polymarketfishpapav
0x9ceaa567754c75f74db89f3085e0509d60f2a932
+$2.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Mar 5, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Best In Other politics
- 72% won · 134 settled · +$2.8K
fishpapav is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 100 wins and 37 losses on settled markets, $2.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 73%
- Return on settled
- +25%
- Money traded
- $52.2K
- Typical trade
- $25
- Avg entry
- 43¢
- Polymarket rank
- #1,713
Profit over time
+$2.8K-$111
Aug 27Sep 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3168%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢13330%15%-15 pts
40 to 60¢19551%59%+7 pts
60 to 80¢12268%91%+23 pts
Over 80¢23492%98%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $625050%-$13
$6 to $2525061%-$74
$25 to $7625069%+$113
$77 to $84725091%+$2.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Other politics72372%+$2.8K
Bitcoin178+$0
NBA15+$0
Weather11+$0
Ethereum39+$0
Fed and rates2100%+$47
Side taken
Yes 59%41% No
If you had copied fishpapav
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$615
Profit
on $13700 staked
100-37
Record
73% win rate
+4%
Return
1 still open
+$688-$496
Aug 24Sep 28
-$991
Max drawdown
200% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.17×
Profit factor
$4.3K won vs $3.7K lost
+7.9 pts
Edge vs implied
73% won at 65¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 8
- Deepest drawdown
- 11 trades
By category
politics135 settled+4%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
Sep 29, 7 fills
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
Sep 29
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
Sep 29, 4 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$325Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?$357 on Yes at 52¢, Sep 22
- 2+$286Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?$458 on Yes at 62¢, Sep 28
- 3+$275Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?$168 on Yes at 38¢, Sep 15
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?65¢12+$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?73¢3+$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?75¢7100%+$270
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?61¢15+$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?61¢2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$55
Sep 2026+$2.8K
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