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Stats as of

Alder

0x91168ddb61315a38c13f26b7d74764e21cfc6fda

+$29.4K
Tracked Trades
239
First Seen
Sep 7, 2024
Last Trade
Oct 26, 2026
Best In World politics
97% won · 119 settled · +$21.8K

Alder is a Polymarket trader with 239 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 194 wins and 8 losses on settled markets, $29.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? on Oct 26.

Win rate
96%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$1.5M
Typical trade
$1.7K
Avg entry
97¢
Polymarket rank
#885

Profit over time

+$29.4K+$0
Sep 7Oct 26

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
40 to 60¢348%0%-48 pts
60 to 80¢576%100%+24 pts
Over 80¢23196%97%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $3656089%-$171
$369 to $1.7K6098%+$783
$1.7K to $5.3K6098%+$2.1K
$5.4K to $114K59100%+$26.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics15097%+$21.8K
US elections8100%+$3.8K
Fed and rates6100%+$232
US politics2587%+$1.4K
Companies13100%+$1.1K
Entertainment2100%+$150

Side taken

Yes 42%58% No

If you had copied Alder

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$11
Profit
on $900 staked
9-0
Record
100% win rate
+1%
Return
Profit over time9 settled trades
+$11+$0
Jul 27Oct 26

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 9 so far.

By category

politics9 settled+1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 26
No100¢$784+$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 26, 7 fills
Yes100¢$205.6K+$539
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sep 10, 14 fills
No98¢$78.3K+$1.7K
See every position across 97 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
    $37.6K on No at 86¢, Sep 17
    +$6.1K
  2. 2
    Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
    $94.7K on No at 96¢, Apr 6
    +$3.9K
  3. 3
    Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
    $48.0K on Yes at 93¢, Nov 5
    +$3.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?100¢7100%+$539
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?96¢4100%+$3.9K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?100¢1100%+$114
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?96¢6100%+$1.2K
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?98¢14100%+$1.7K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 29Oct 26

Profit by month

Oct 2025+$3.6K
Nov 2025+$1.3K
Dec 2025+$1.3K
Jan 2026+$3
Feb 2026+$10
Mar 2026+$4.9K
Apr 2026+$3.9K
Jun 2026+$235
Jul 2026+$159
Aug 2026+$426
Sep 2026+$1.7K
Oct 2026+$539

How they build positions

Added to a position82%
Opened a new position18%

Polymarket leaderboards

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