NordhavenCap
0x91feec8af2b517f024d91564ee108d707cc0c1c6
+$86.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 399
- First Seen
- Aug 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 19, 2026
NordhavenCap is a Polymarket trader with 399 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 308 wins and 87 losses on settled markets, $86.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19? on Sep 19.
- Win rate
- 78%
- Return on settled
- +17%
- Money traded
- $516.8K
- Typical trade
- $1.1K
- Copy score
- 74/100
- Polymarket rank
- #204
Profit over time
+$92.1K-$671
Aug 20Sep 19
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢716%29%+13 pts
20 to 40¢4731%47%+16 pts
40 to 60¢7250%72%+22 pts
60 to 80¢12171%76%+5 pts
Over 80¢14888%95%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$502 to $8259971%+$17.3K
$825 to $1.1K9973%+$18.5K
$1.1K to $1.5K9986%+$29.7K
$1.5K to $4.0K9881%+$20.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Sports30477%+$66.2K
Culture8380%+$22.8K
Politics867%-$3.1K
Side taken
Yes 27%73% No
If you had copied NordhavenCap
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$7342
Profit
on $39100 staked
304-87
Record
78% win rate
+19%
Return
+$7.3K+$0
Aug 17Sep 14
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
26% below peak
4.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.84×
Profit factor
$16.0K won vs $8.7K lost
+9.9 pts
Edge vs implied
78% won at 68¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 16
- Deepest drawdown
- 21 trades
By category
sports302 settled+20%
culture83 settled+19%
politics6 settled-18%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 62¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19?
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 93¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
Sep 19, 4 fills, avg 43¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$8.0KWill New York Red Bulls win on 2026-09-12?$1.8K on Yes, Sep 13
- 2+$6.7KWill CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-09-06?$2.6K on Yes, Sep 7
- 3+$5.5KWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?$8.1K on Yes, Aug 31
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?8100%+$3.6K
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?450%-$5.1K
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?4100%+$2.6K
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?5100%+$2.1K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-12?4100%+$2.2K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 22Sep 19
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$26.7K
Sep 2026+$59.2K
How they build positions
Opened a new position55%
Added to a position36%
Closed a position5%
Trimmed a position5%
Similar Polymarket traders
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