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Stats as of

Arman2

0x9453a389c73df7991249d9f2c6e2c854157b1a48

+$6.4K
Tracked Trades
1,114
First Seen
Jul 25, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 27, 2026
Best In World politics
66% won · 435 settled · +$4.4K

Arman2 is a Polymarket trader with 1,114 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 433 wins and 266 losses on settled markets, $6.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? on Oct 27.

Win rate
62%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$370.4K
Typical trade
$170.08
Avg entry
58¢
Polymarket rank
#2,090

Profit over time

+$14.7K-$1.7K
Jul 25Oct 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1439%12%+3 pts
20 to 40¢16930%29%-1 pts
40 to 60¢13949%32%-17 pts
60 to 80¢23371%76%+5 pts
Over 80¢43091%88%-3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5727947%-$1.2K
$57 to $17027958%+$163.03
$170 to $47427869%+$1.7K
$477 to $5.3K27878%+$5.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics74966%+$4.4K
Commodities17753%+$423.37
US politics5163%+$1.3K
US elections3471%+$291.03
Weather1389%-$18.81
Entertainment1655%-$368.39

Side taken

Yes 54%46% No

If you had copied Arman2

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$923.30
Profit
on $16,700.00 staked
106-61
Record
63% win rate
+6%
Return
14 still open
Profit over time167 settled trades
+$1.4K+$0.00
Jul 27Oct 26
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
91% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.15×
Profit factor
$7.0K won vs $6.1K lost
+0.8 pts
Edge vs implied
63% won at 63¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
78 trades

By category

sports10 settled+52%
finance28 settled+13%
politics112 settled+3%
culture17 settled-16%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

8 open positions worth $16.9K

The markets Arman2 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Arman2 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Oct 27
Yes93¢$1.2K+$87.55
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Oct 26, 2 fills
Yes67¢$1.4K+$677.40
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Oct 23, 6 fills
Yes93¢sold 92¢$2.3K+$160.76
See every position across 191 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
    $3.4K on Yes at 30¢, Aug 12
    +$7.7K
  2. 2
    Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
    $2.0K on Yes at 28¢, Oct 5
    +$5.1K
  3. 3
    Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
    $6.0K on No at 55¢, Sep 28
    +$5.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?80¢13+$0.00
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?45¢2510%-$3.2K
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?50¢4167%+$3.7K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?36¢3712%-$3.5K
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?89¢12+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 30Oct 27

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$3.1K
Aug 2026+$7.8K
Sep 2026-$10.6K
Oct 2026+$6.1K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position71%
Closed a position27%
Added to a position2%

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