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Stats as of

SerjShard106

0x98f8a88bb0691f4969ed95b8fd9b75158535d8b0

+$6.2K
Tracked Trades
213
First Seen
Sep 1, 2024
Last Trade
Oct 20, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
100% won · 27 settled · +$2.7K

SerjShard106 is a Polymarket trader with 213 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 175 wins and 10 losses on settled markets, $6.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House on Oct 20.

Win rate
95%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$173.6K
Typical trade
$189.70
Avg entry
95¢
Polymarket rank
#2,310

Profit over time

+$6.2K+$0.00
Sep 1Oct 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢101%0%+0 pts
20 to 40¢325%0%-25 pts
60 to 80¢673%100%+27 pts
Over 80¢19496%98%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $115484%+$4.25
$11 to $1905398%+$257.59
$192 to $9715398%+$658.85
$977 to $7.5K53100%+$5.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics8694%+$2.7K
Fed and rates38100%+$2.7K
US elections1995%+$382.37
US politics1693%+$19.07
Bitcoin8100%+$4.37
Entertainment6100%+$73.18

Side taken

Yes 23%77% No

If you had copied SerjShard106

$100 per bet, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

3 of 5 needed have resolved. 2 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Oct 20, 2 fills
No91¢$2.7K+$270.48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Oct 19
Yes86¢$4.6K+$742.86
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Oct 18, 2 fills
No87¢$5.2K+$780.00
See every position across 143 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
    $6.0K on Yes at 88¢, Apr 15
    +$818.81
  2. 2
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
    $5.2K on No at 87¢, Oct 18
    +$780.00
  3. 3
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
    $4.6K on Yes at 86¢, Oct 19
    +$742.86
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?99¢6100%+$108.08
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?98¢4100%+$132.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?97¢6100%+$221.42
Fed rate cut by November 7?99¢2100%+$91.64
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?100¢1100%+$7.15

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 23Oct 20

Profit by month

Sep 2024+$832.69
Nov 2024+$15.30
Jan 2025-$0.64
Oct 2025+$315.23
Nov 2025+$502.24
Dec 2025+$171.25
Jan 2026+$1.1K
Feb 2026-$735.90
Mar 2026+$814.36
Apr 2026+$1.4K
May 2026+$1.66
Oct 2026+$1.8K

How they build positions

Opened a new position75%
Added to a position25%

Polymarket leaderboards

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