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Stats as of

AlAhmeda

0x9d736920e486176e7df7a76fa218f1ebd853216b

+$14.4K
Tracked Trades
836
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In US elections
92% won · 133 settled · +$19.0K

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active politics traders who bet one side: Abkha, Flipadelphia, Kickstand7

AlAhmeda is a Polymarket trader with 836 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 193 wins and 31 losses on settled markets, $14.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? on Nov 4.

Win rate
86%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$1.1M
Typical trade
$950.00
Avg entry
66¢
Polymarket rank
#1,586

Profit over time

+$14.4K-$15.1K
Aug 24Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢219%
20 to 40¢8329%17%-13 pts
40 to 60¢10150%33%-16 pts
60 to 80¢23672%87%+15 pts
Over 80¢41490%95%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $72020989%+$5.3K
$720 to $95020988%+$1.8K
$950 to $1.6K20984%+$5.7K
$1.6K to $8.7K20982%+$1.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics44176%-$5.4K
US elections26391%+$18.9K
Commodities56100%+$2.4K
Fed and rates32+$0.00
Bitcoin19100%+$37.92
Economic data1267%-$1.6K

Side taken

Yes 39%61% No

If you had copied AlAhmeda

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$173.77
Profit
on $7,500.00 staked
58-17
Record
77% win rate
-2%
Return
61 still open
Profit over time75 settled trades
+$36.14-$368.25
Aug 17Nov 2
-$694.76
Max drawdown
586% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.90×
Profit factor
$1.5K won vs $1.7K lost
+0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
77% won at 77¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
12 trades

By category

politics62 settled-2%
culture11 settled-6%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

47 open positions worth $346.5K

The markets AlAhmeda is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what AlAhmeda is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 4, 22 fills
Yes74¢sold 75¢$14.1K+$5.0K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Nov 4, 4 fills
Yes91¢sold 88¢$2.6K+$242.52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Nov 4, 17 fills
Yes87¢sold 85¢$12.7K+$1.9K
See every position across 150 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
    $7.5K on Yes at 40¢, Oct 29
    +$11.2K
  2. 2
    Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
    $25.7K on No at 74¢, Nov 4
    +$8.9K
  3. 3
    Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
    $14.1K on Yes at 74¢, Nov 4
    +$5.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?51¢106+$0.00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?45¢60+$0.00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?64¢3495%+$5.9K
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?89¢19+$0.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?56¢16+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$1.5K
Sep 2026+$2.4K
Oct 2026-$9.7K
Nov 2026+$23.2K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position81%
Opened a new position12%
Added to a position4%
Closed a position3%

Polymarket leaderboards

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