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Stats as of

pbshine

0x9def9524630e31ff90f884eed32c3eecfbf8d1a5

+$33.4K
Tracked Trades
1,006
First Seen
Feb 16, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 21, 2026
Best In World politics
54% won · 153 settled · +$43.6K

pbshine is a Polymarket trader with 1,006 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 260 wins and 334 losses on settled markets, $33.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? on Oct 21.

Win rate
44%
Return on settled
+16%
Money traded
$478.7K
Typical trade
$238
Avg entry
30¢
Polymarket rank
#819

Profit over time

+$33.4K-$6.0K
Feb 16Oct 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢29810%22%+11 pts
20 to 40¢27729%35%+6 pts
40 to 60¢17849%51%+2 pts
60 to 80¢13068%71%+2 pts
Over 80¢12394%81%-13 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $7525238%+$3.3K
$75 to $23925241%+$10.0K
$239 to $54325145%+$8.1K
$544 to $21K25153%+$12.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin17726%-$14.8K
World politics27754%+$43.6K
Commodities23944%+$3.0K
NBA3946%+$2.1K
MMA4541%+$549
Esports3443%-$2.7K

Side taken

Yes 72%28% No

If you had copied pbshine

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$3774
Profit
on $4000 staked
18-22
Record
45% win rate
+94%
Return
5 still open
Profit over time40 settled trades
+$3.8K+$0
Jul 27Oct 19
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
84% below peak
3.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.72×
Profit factor
$6.0K won vs $2.2K lost
+2.6 pts
Edge vs implied
45% won at 42¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
25 trades

By category

politics8 settled+164%
sports23 settled-23%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

4 open positions worth $821

The markets pbshine is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what pbshine is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 20, 3 fills
Yes21¢$2.4K+$8.8K
Thunder vs. Spurs
Oct 20
Spurs49¢$196-$196
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
Sep 13
Sold Yessold 4¢$15Exited
See every position across 377 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $5.5K on Yes at 32¢, Jun 15
    +$11.6K
  2. 2
    US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $2.5K on Yes at 18¢, Jun 15
    +$11.6K
  3. 3
    Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $2.4K on Yes at 21¢, Oct 20
    +$8.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?44¢3414%-$13.2K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?74¢7100%+$2.2K
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?35¢100%-$4.4K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?37¢13100%+$4.6K
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?10¢10100%+$7.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 24Oct 21

Profit by month

Feb 2026+$6.0K
Mar 2026+$7.3K
Apr 2026-$7.1K
May 2026-$8.0K
Jun 2026+$27.6K
Jul 2026+$4.6K
Aug 2026-$6.3K
Sep 2026+$722
Oct 2026+$8.6K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position60%
Closed a position40%

Polymarket leaderboards

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