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Stats as of

carlos484

0x9e7296fc4776144f60db9a5943ff2051696599c4

+$170.3K
Tracked Trades
224
First Seen
Apr 25, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In World politics
94% won · 89 settled · +$83.8K

carlos484 is a Polymarket trader with 224 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 141 wins and 17 losses on settled markets, $170.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? on Nov 3.

Win rate
89%
Return on settled
+24%
Money traded
$1.2M
Typical trade
$3.5K
Avg entry
78¢
Polymarket rank
#273

Profit over time

+$170.3K-$336.00
Apr 25Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢914%0%-14 pts
20 to 40¢1126%0%-26 pts
40 to 60¢1551%73%+22 pts
60 to 80¢9072%95%+22 pts
Over 80¢9987%100%+13 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$4 to $1.1K5666%+$5.5K
$1.1K to $3.5K5693%+$21.8K
$3.5K to $6.8K5698%+$47.7K
$6.8K to $40K56100%+$95.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics13194%+$83.8K
Commodities45100%+$44.1K
US elections14100%+$39.8K
Economic data1785%+$11.7K
Soccer1114%-$11.8K
Other culture433%+$3.5K

Side taken

Yes 26%74% No

If you had copied carlos484

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$568.12
Profit
on $2,000.00 staked
19-1
Record
95% win rate
+28%
Return
5 still open
Profit over time20 settled trades
+$568.12+$0.00
Aug 3Nov 2
-$100.00
Max drawdown
45% below peak
5.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
6.68×
Profit factor
$668.12 won vs $100.00 lost
+22.5 pts
Edge vs implied
95% won at 73¢ avg
Longest losing streak
1
Deepest drawdown
1 trades

By category

politics16 settled+25%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $227.4K

The markets carlos484 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what carlos484 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Nov 3, 4 fills
Yes73¢$51.4K+$18.9K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 3, 3 fills
Yes73¢sold 75¢$20.0K+$7.4K
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Nov 2, 7 fills
Yes78¢$47.1K+$13.5K
See every position across 46 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
    $163.2K on No at 79¢, Oct 15
    +$44.0K
  2. 2
    US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
    $118.6K on No at 77¢, Sep 25
    +$36.0K
  3. 3
    Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
    $51.4K on Yes at 73¢, Nov 3
    +$18.9K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?79¢33100%+$44.0K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?76¢22100%+$39.8K
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?79¢10+$0.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?90¢15100%+$8.9K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?87¢9+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Apr 2026+$6.1K
May 2026+$3.9K
Jun 2026+$2.8K
Jul 2026-$5.8K
Aug 2026+$47.9K
Sep 2026+$27.1K
Oct 2026+$48.5K
Nov 2026+$39.8K

How they build positions

Added to a position66%
Opened a new position20%
Closed a position8%
Trimmed a position6%

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