rivomarkets

carlos484

0x9e7296fc4776144f60db9a5943ff2051696599c4

+$21.2K
Tracked Trades
141
First Seen
Apr 25, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026

carlos484 is a Polymarket trader with 141 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 48 wins and 16 losses on settled markets, $21.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? on Sep 19.

Win rate
75%
Return on settled
+16%
Money traded
$434.1K
Typical trade
$1.9K
Copy score
56/100
Polymarket rank
#606

Profit over time

+$21.2K-$336
Apr 25Sep 12

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢914%0%-14 pts
20 to 40¢1126%0%-26 pts
40 to 60¢1551%73%+22 pts
60 to 80¢5270%86%+16 pts
Over 80¢5387%100%+13 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$4 to $7173550%+$1.3K
$721 to $1.9K3584%+$6.9K
$1.9K to $4.3K3589%+$9.1K
$4.4K to $13K3583%+$3.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Politics7495%+$13.8K
Culture6168%+$8.4K
Finance50%-$977

Side taken

Yes 20%80% No

If you had copied carlos484

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$335
Profit
on $5000 staked
35-15
Record
70% win rate
-7%
Return
41 still open
Profit over time50 settled trades
+$0-$728
Jul 6Sep 14
-$941
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.78×
Profit factor
$1.2K won vs $1.5K lost
+4.3 pts
Edge vs implied
70% won at 66¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
24 trades

By category

politics21 settled+21%
culture27 settled-21%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

6 open positions worth $175.6K

The markets carlos484 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what carlos484 is holding

Recent positions

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Sep 19, 11 fills, avg 67¢
BUYNO$23.0KOpen
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
Sep 12, 6 fills, avg 76¢
BUYYES$7.2K+$2.3K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Sep 12, 2 fills, avg 58¢
SELLNO$1.5KOpen
See every position across 35 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
    $19.5K on No, Jun 17
    +$12.0K
  2. 2
    US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
    $20.7K on No, Aug 16
    +$5.4K
  3. 3
    Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
    $7.3K on No, Jul 25
    +$3.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?21+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?8100%+$5.4K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?6+$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?6100%+$1.5K
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?6+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Apr 2026+$6.1K
May 2026+$3.9K
Jun 2026+$2.8K
Jul 2026-$5.5K
Aug 2026+$11.6K
Sep 2026+$2.3K

How they build positions

Added to a position60%
Closed a position17%
Opened a new position14%
Trimmed a position9%

Similar Polymarket traders

Copy carlos484's next trade the moment it lands.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.