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Stats as of

Naropoly

0x9f83f83bdfc209c6fade8a2c77ea9667e9176cd9

+$24.9K
Tracked Trades
1,005
First Seen
Jan 4, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 21, 2026
Best In World politics
91% won · 502 settled · +$37.6K

Naropoly is a Polymarket trader with 1,005 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 709 wins and 125 losses on settled markets, $24.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? on Oct 21.

Win rate
85%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$593.3K
Typical trade
$149
Avg entry
90¢
Polymarket rank
#854

Profit over time

+$34.1K+$0
Jan 4Oct 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢429%4%-5 pts
20 to 40¢7628%59%+31 pts
40 to 60¢5049%69%+21 pts
60 to 80¢19870%79%+9 pts
Over 80¢63995%95%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4825272%+$897
$49 to $14925182%+$1.8K
$149 to $62825191%+$4.1K
$632 to $14K25197%+$18.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics57590%+$31.6K
Companies5074%-$109
Weather12+$0
US elections14100%+$498
Tech and AI7187%+$762
Soccer10267%-$5.5K

Side taken

Yes 44%56% No

If you had copied Naropoly

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$717
Profit
on $5200 staked
37-15
Record
71% win rate
-14%
Return
14 still open
Profit over time52 settled trades
+$0-$717
Jul 27Oct 19
-$856
Max drawdown
614% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.52×
Profit factor
$783 won vs $1.5K lost
-10.9 pts
Edge vs implied
71% won at 82¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
37 trades

By category

finance7 settled+15%
politics22 settled+2%
sports11 settled-12%
culture12 settled-61%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

14 open positions worth $11.6K

The markets Naropoly is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Naropoly is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 20
No77¢$770-$770
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 8
Yes84¢$84-$84
Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
Sep 27
No98¢$98+$2
See every position across 309 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
    $21.4K on No at 71¢, Apr 12
    +$8.7K
  2. 2
    Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
    $6.1K on Yes at 61¢, Apr 18
    +$3.9K
  3. 3
    Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
    $15.9K on Yes at 80¢, Jun 10
    +$3.9K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? 99¢7100%+$544
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?97¢21100%+$819
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?71¢47100%+$8.7K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?98¢15100%+$556
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?80¢37100%+$3.9K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 24Oct 21

Profit by month

Jan 2026+$2.9K
Feb 2026+$809
Mar 2026+$9.8K
Apr 2026+$12.6K
May 2026-$173
Jun 2026+$7.4K
Jul 2026-$4.8K
Aug 2026-$2.3K
Sep 2026-$464
Oct 2026-$854

How they build positions

Added to a position50%
Trimmed a position50%

Polymarket leaderboards

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