rivomarkets

Stats as of

emberthespirit

0xa0bf1fb9adfcea4c7072d36befd4fcff63406060

+$156
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 21, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 25, 2026
Best In Weather
29% won · 848 settled · +$156

emberthespirit is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 243 wins and 606 losses on settled markets, $156 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 25? on Sep 25.

Win rate
29%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$8.4K
Typical trade
$2
Avg entry
30¢
Polymarket rank
#6,972

Profit over time

+$214-$68
Sep 21Sep 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢24715%21%+7 pts
20 to 40¢41729%23%-5 pts
40 to 60¢18347%45%-2 pts
60 to 80¢1768%77%+9 pts
Over 80¢13699%71%-27 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125018%-$11
$1 to $225030%+$7
$2 to $725033%+$119
$7 to $18925037%+$41

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather100029%+$156

Side taken

Yes 92%8% No

If you had copied emberthespirit

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$3221
Profit
on $84900 staked
243-606
Record
29% win rate
+4%
Return
15 still open
-$6.4K
Max drawdown
105% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.05×
Profit factor
$63.8K won vs $60.6K lost
-1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
29% won at 30¢ avg
Longest losing streak
20
Deepest drawdown
130 trades

By category

culture849 settled+4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

5 open positions worth $109

The markets emberthespirit is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what emberthespirit is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25?
Sep 25, 2 fills
Yes51¢sold 100¢$1+$1
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 25?
Sep 25, 2 fills
No90¢sold 100¢$2+$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 25?
Sep 25, 2 fills
Yes52¢sold 12¢$1-$1
See every position across 312 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on September 23?
    $47 on Yes at 17¢, Sep 22
    +$223
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24?
    $83 on Yes at 30¢, Sep 23
    +$192
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 23?
    $24 on Yes at 15¢, Sep 22
    +$131
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 22?43¢9100%+$114
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 22?32¢9100%+$57
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22?26¢4100%+$18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21?4+$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 23?31¢450%-$1

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 28Sep 25

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$156

Polymarket leaderboards

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