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Stats as of

Paul973973

0xa1089452f0224a9973505f2d4347c2ea2f08abd3

+$41.0K
Tracked Trades
993
First Seen
Aug 23, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Tennis
94% won · 716 settled · +$35.5K

This trader is a closer

58% of this trader's buys are at 95¢ or higher, on outcomes that are nearly decided. The win rate is high because the odds are short: copying them risks 95¢ or more to make 5¢ or less. If you want better odds, skip their 95¢+ buys or pick someone else.

Paul973973 is a Polymarket trader with 993 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 880 wins and 58 losses on settled markets, $41.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-11-03? on Nov 3.

Win rate
94%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$1.7M
Typical trade
$1.0K
Avg entry
94¢
Polymarket rank
#786

Profit over time

+$41.0K-$7.0K
Aug 23Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢113%0%-13 pts
20 to 40¢625%50%+25 pts
40 to 60¢853%20%-33 pts
60 to 80¢6372%75%+3 pts
Over 80¢91594%96%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $50024991%+$1.4K
$500 to $1.0K24897%+$11.8K
$1.0K to $2.0K24893%-$424.91
$2.0K to $40K24895%+$28.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis66094%+$34.7K
Soccer13596%+$8.9K
NBA9099%+$1.7K
Fed and rates28100%+$6.8K
Commodities19100%+$194.32
US elections10100%+$3.7K

Side taken

Yes 82%18% No

If you had copied Paul973973

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$767.67
Profit
on $31,400.00 staked
286-28
Record
91% win rate
+2%
Return
14 still open
Profit over time314 settled trades
+$767.67-$102.17
Aug 17Nov 2
-$644.35
Max drawdown
75% below peak
1.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.27×
Profit factor
$3.6K won vs $2.8K lost
+2.1 pts
Edge vs implied
91% won at 89¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
32 trades

By category

culture15 settled+7%
sports284 settled+3%
politics11 settled-2%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

10 open positions worth $68.8K

The markets Paul973973 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Paul973973 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-11-03?
Nov 3, 4 fills
Yes84¢$1.9K+$365.76
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Rafael Jodar
Nov 3
Rafael Jodar55¢$100.00-$100.00
Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Dylan Dietrich
Nov 3, 5 fills
Marcos Giron95¢$1.4K+$78.19
See every position across 306 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Manacor: Edas Butvilas vs Luca Potenza
    $64.0K on Luca Potenza at 90¢, Sep 4
    +$7.2K
  2. 2
    European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon Griekspoor
    $40.0K on Tallon Griekspoor at 88¢, Oct 24
    +$5.2K
  3. 3
    Lyon Open, Qualification: Francesco Maestrelli vs Borna Gojo
    $20.0K on Borna Gojo at 84¢, Oct 18
    +$3.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev93¢743%-$4.0K
Manacor: Edas Butvilas vs Luca Potenza90¢14100%+$7.2K
US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng94¢4100%+$3.2K
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?97¢6100%+$1.6K
European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon Griekspoor89¢729%-$3.3K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$2.5K
Sep 2026+$12.1K
Oct 2026+$26.7K
Nov 2026+$4.8K

How they build positions

Opened a new position55%
Added to a position28%
Trimmed a position12%
Closed a position5%

Polymarket leaderboards

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