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Stats as of

calvinhobbes123

0xa234bdc751080ba6c4d2c7462523dbc27791f7eb

+$6.7K
Tracked Trades
1,005
First Seen
Apr 17, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 6, 2026
Best In Companies
98% won · 453 settled · +$5.8K

calvinhobbes123 is a Polymarket trader with 1,005 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 756 wins and 52 losses on settled markets, $6.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6? on Nov 6.

Win rate
94%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$117.2K
Typical trade
$48.14
Avg entry
92¢
Polymarket rank
#4,314

Profit over time

+$6.7K-$123.00
Apr 17Nov 6

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢767%31%+24 pts
20 to 40¢2630%75%+45 pts
40 to 60¢4351%79%+29 pts
60 to 80¢11272%86%+14 pts
Over 80¢74896%98%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1925279%+$280.76
$19 to $4825195%+$733.47
$48 to $10825198%+$1.3K
$108 to $5.0K25199%+$4.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather48588%+$856.06
Companies50098%+$5.8K
NBA450%+$41.86
Economic data8100%+$15.42
Entertainment4+$0.00
World politics1100%+$1.28

Side taken

Yes 20%80% No

If you had copied calvinhobbes123

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$2,147.46
Profit
on $14,000.00 staked
130-10
Record
93% win rate
+15%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time140 settled trades
+$2.1K-$12.55
Aug 10Nov 2
-$264.38
Max drawdown
846% below peak
8.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.15×
Profit factor
$3.1K won vs $1.0K lost
+4.7 pts
Edge vs implied
93% won at 88¢ avg
Longest losing streak
1
Deepest drawdown
23 trades

By category

finance79 settled+27%
culture61 settled-0%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $543.36

The markets calvinhobbes123 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what calvinhobbes123 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?
Nov 6, 5 fills
No82¢$732.07+$159.90
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?
Nov 5, 13 fills
No44¢sold 53¢$1.2K+$1.5K
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?
Nov 5
No99¢$63.52+$0.53
See every position across 402 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?
    $1.2K on No at 44¢, Nov 5
    +$1.5K
  2. 2
    Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?
    $1.2K on No at 50¢, Jun 11
    +$1.2K
  3. 3
    Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
    $92.05 on No at 14¢, Sep 18
    +$577.95
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 1?100¢1100%+$10.00
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 24?99¢3100%+$55.53
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on August 28?100¢2100%+$4.02
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?99¢29100%+$29.06
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?99¢3100%+$26.96

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 9Nov 6

Profit by month

Apr 2026+$89.12
May 2026+$354.57
Jun 2026+$1.9K
Jul 2026+$255.40
Aug 2026+$264.72
Sep 2026+$1.0K
Oct 2026+$1.0K
Nov 2026+$1.9K

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