rivomarkets

risk-manager

0xa61ef8773ec2e821962306ca87d4b57e39ff0abd

-$9.2K
Tracked Trades
95
First Seen
Apr 28, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 15, 2026

risk-manager is a Polymarket trader with 95 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 2 wins and 6 losses on settled markets, -$9.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? on Sep 15.

Win rate
25%
Return on settled
-98%
Money traded
$99.1K

Profit over time

+$15-$9.2K
Apr 28Jul 17

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢623%0%-3 pts
20 to 40¢1027%0%-27 pts
40 to 60¢1150%100%+50 pts
60 to 80¢475%
Over 80¢890%50%-40 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $9240%-$12
$13 to $1212450%-$29
$124 to $6392450%-$435
$752 to $11K230%-$8.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Culture6440%-$8.7K
Politics13+$0
Sports180%-$508

Side taken

Yes 82%18% No

If you had copied risk-manager

$100 per trade, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

2 of 5 needed have resolved. 5 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

4 open positions worth $10.3K

The markets risk-manager is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what risk-manager is holding

Recent positions

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Sep 15, avg 18¢
SELLYES$895Open
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Sep 13, avg 6¢
SELLYES$630Open
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Sep 13, avg 89¢
BUYYES$3.9KOpen
See every position across 68 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
    $124 on Yes, Jun 28
    +$27
  2. 2
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
    $15 on Yes, Apr 28
    +$15
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?1+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?4+$0
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?1+$0
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?10%-$8.7K
Will England win on 2026-07-11?2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 18Sep 15

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$449
May 2026-$7
Jun 2026-$8.7K
Jul 2026-$44

How they build positions

Trimmed a position60%
Added to a position20%
Opened a new position20%

Similar Polymarket traders

Copy risk-manager's next trade the moment it lands.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.