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Stats as of

risk-manager

0xa61ef8773ec2e821962306ca87d4b57e39ff0abd

-$8.3K
Tracked Trades
135
First Seen
Apr 28, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026

risk-manager is a Polymarket trader with 135 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 3 wins and 6 losses on settled markets, -$8.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? on Nov 3.

Win rate
33%
Return on settled
-35%
Money traded
$197.3K
Typical trade
$511.34
Avg entry
10¢
Polymarket rank
#8,499

Profit over time

+$15.00-$9.2K
Apr 28Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢743%0%-3 pts
20 to 40¢1027%0%-27 pts
40 to 60¢1150%100%+50 pts
60 to 80¢1177%
Over 80¢2991%67%-24 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $383425%+$3.04
$40 to $5113433%-$479.35
$535 to $1.4K34+$0.00
$1.5K to $14K3350%-$7.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections32100%+$900.00
Soccer180%-$8.7K
World politics230%-$6.88
Companies14+$0.00
Motorsport170%-$508.06
Fed and rates2067%+$38.63

Side taken

Yes 61%39% No

If you had copied risk-manager

$100 per bet, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

3 of 5 needed have resolved. 21 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

6 open positions worth $24.6K

The markets risk-manager is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what risk-manager is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 3, 5 fills
Sold Yessold 6¢$6.0KExited
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 3
No94¢$14.1K+$900.00
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Oct 29, 4 fills
No93¢sold 92¢$2.8KExited
See every position across 75 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
    $14.1K on No at 94¢, Nov 3
    +$900.00
  2. 2
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
    $123.82 on Yes at 82¢, Jun 28
    +$27.18
  3. 3
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
    $15.00 on Yes at 50¢, Apr 28
    +$15.00
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?91¢11+$0.00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?94¢6100%+$900.00
Will GameStop acquire eBay?93¢4+$0.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?5¢7+$0.00
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$448.96
May 2026-$6.88
Jun 2026-$8.7K
Jul 2026-$44.10
Nov 2026+$900.00

How they build positions

Trimmed a position86%
Opened a new position11%
Added to a position4%

Polymarket leaderboards

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