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Stats as of

196874353278

0xab155a20ff29debee4128e9dd1ea6ab8541c46e5

+$1.4K
Tracked Trades
1,123
First Seen
Oct 12, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
57% won · 253 settled · +$2.0K

196874353278 is a Polymarket trader with 1,123 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 417 wins and 449 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3? on Nov 3.

Win rate
48%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$125.5K
Typical trade
$4.67
Avg entry
47¢
Polymarket rank
#3,329

Profit over time

+$1.4K-$9.3K
Oct 12Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4165%2%-3 pts
20 to 40¢9828%16%-11 pts
40 to 60¢6749%68%+18 pts
60 to 80¢17969%86%+16 pts
Over 80¢36393%76%-17 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $428142%-$97.68
$4 to $528134%-$552.67
$5 to $528147%-$427.86
$5 to $3.0K28088%+$2.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin33257%+$2.0K
Ethereum34148%-$179.64
Stocks and indices23839%-$192.21
Solana13927%-$165.09
Commodities46100%+$28.97
XRP2718%-$80.31

Side taken

Yes 50%50% No

If you had copied 196874353278

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$6,147.51
Profit
on $17,000.00 staked
73-97
Record
43% win rate
-36%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time170 settled trades
+$0.00-$6.5K
Oct 12Nov 2
-$6.9K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.37×
Profit factor
$3.6K won vs $9.7K lost
-0.4 pts
Edge vs implied
43% won at 43¢ avg
Longest losing streak
20
Deepest drawdown
142 trades

By category

finance56 settled-24%
crypto114 settled-42%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $1.2K

The markets 196874353278 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 196874353278 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?
Nov 3, 2 fills
Up50¢sold 72¢$1.8K+$1.8K
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 3?
Nov 3
Yes44¢$1.1K-$1.1K
Ethereum Up or Down on November 3?
Nov 3, 3 fills
Up30¢sold 66¢$931.53+$2.2K
See every position across 197 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Ethereum Up or Down on November 3?
    $931.53 on Up at 30¢, Nov 3
    +$2.2K
  2. 2
    Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?
    $3.5K on No at 64¢, Oct 30
    +$2.0K
  3. 3
    Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?
    $1.8K on Up at 50¢, Nov 3
    +$1.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?64¢8100%+$2.0K
Ethereum Up or Down on November 1?73¢5100%+$1.4K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 1?64¢4100%+$1.3K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?77¢580%-$868.19
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?94¢4100%+$170.10

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Oct 2026-$4.6K
Nov 2026+$6.1K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position93%
Closed a position5%
Opened a new position2%

Polymarket leaderboards

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