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Stats as of

iraa3

0xad6092f0ab7cda2a84977d18cabecbdbe4e397f4

-$715
Tracked Trades
923
First Seen
Dec 23, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 21, 2026
Best In Commodities
100% won · 66 settled · +$476

iraa3 is a Polymarket trader with 923 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 217 wins and 30 losses on settled markets, -$715 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: US recession by end of 2026? on Oct 21.

Win rate
88%
Return on settled
-1%
Money traded
$600.6K
Typical trade
$380
Avg entry
85¢
Polymarket rank
#3,981

Profit over time

+$655-$1.9K
Dec 23Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5511%19%+8 pts
20 to 40¢6028%0%-28 pts
40 to 60¢3044%50%+6 pts
60 to 80¢4071%50%-21 pts
Over 80¢73896%97%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $15423171%+$111
$154 to $38023194%-$284
$380 to $82523197%-$92
$825 to $10K23098%-$449

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin30990%-$178
World politics16490%-$1.8K
US elections17370%+$42
Commodities87100%+$476
Fed and rates26100%+$54
Economic data2950%-$97

Side taken

Yes 22%78% No

If you had copied iraa3

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$122
Profit
on $3400 staked
30-4
Record
88% win rate
+4%
Return
65 still open
Profit over time34 settled trades
+$122+$0
Jul 27Oct 19
-$400
Max drawdown
78% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.30×
Profit factor
$522 won vs $400 lost
+1.2 pts
Edge vs implied
88% won at 87¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
4 trades

By category

finance5 settled+6%
politics27 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

62 open positions worth $114.7K

The markets iraa3 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what iraa3 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Oct 17, 2 fills
No88¢sold 98¢$88Exited
See every position across 268 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
    $2.6K on No at 87¢, Apr 6
    +$390
  2. 2
    Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    $55 on Yes at 14¢, Jun 21
    +$345
  3. 3
    Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
    $4.3K on No at 96¢, Sep 30
    +$162
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?97¢72+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?96¢27+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?98¢42+$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?95¢31+$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?99¢3100%+$141

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 24Oct 21

Profit by month

Dec 2025+$265
Jan 2026-$314
Feb 2026+$23
Mar 2026+$589
Apr 2026-$2.1K
May 2026+$48
Jun 2026+$77
Jul 2026+$327
Aug 2026+$260
Sep 2026+$139

How they build positions

Trimmed a position83%
Closed a position17%

Polymarket leaderboards

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