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Stats as of

Mithrandir.

0xb17d4706e45bf0935acc338162bd40af837e59ae

-$3.4K
Tracked Trades
1,012
First Seen
Jun 25, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 28, 2026
Best In Mentions
80% won · 20 settled · +$165.51

Mithrandir. is a Polymarket trader with 1,012 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 579 wins and 174 losses on settled markets, -$3.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? on Oct 28.

Win rate
77%
Return on settled
-3%
Money traded
$165.6K
Typical trade
$96.84
Avg entry
70¢
Polymarket rank
#8,220

Profit over time

+$589.00-$6.6K
Jun 25Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1168%4%-3 pts
20 to 40¢6830%28%-3 pts
40 to 60¢9850%58%+7 pts
60 to 80¢19371%69%-2 pts
Over 80¢53793%95%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4325360%-$197.64
$43 to $9725383%+$1.7K
$97 to $19525378%-$2.4K
$195 to $2.0K25385%-$2.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Entertainment34081%-$910.61
World politics33167%-$2.5K
Companies4771%+$16.93
Commodities5273%-$825.40
Tech and AI6881%+$64.69
US politics2465%-$689.83

Side taken

Yes 42%58% No

If you had copied Mithrandir.

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$3,211.25
Profit
on $37,500.00 staked
298-77
Record
79% win rate
+9%
Return
50 still open
Profit over time375 settled trades
+$3.6K-$27.73
Aug 3Sep 28
-$733.62
Max drawdown
93% below peak
4.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.42×
Profit factor
$10.9K won vs $7.7K lost
+3.0 pts
Edge vs implied
79% won at 76¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
49 trades

By category

culture214 settled+13%
finance27 settled+11%
politics111 settled+1%
sports21 settled-2%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

48 open positions worth $7.8K

The markets Mithrandir. is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Mithrandir. is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Oct 28, 2 fills
Sold Nosold 95¢$1.1KExited
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Oct 23
Sold Nosold 95¢$627.00Exited
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Oct 9
Sold Yessold 73¢$584.00Exited
See every position across 652 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will "Onslaught" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
    $52.45 on No at 4¢, Sep 3
    +$1.3K
  2. 2
    Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
    $947.35 on Yes at 49¢, Aug 28
    +$986.02
  3. 3
    Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?
    $600.00 on No at 40¢, Jul 16
    +$900.00
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?76¢8100%+$367.30
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?77¢11100%+$884.17
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?49¢296%-$2.0K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?89¢40%-$709.15
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?99¢5100%+$31.63

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 31Oct 28

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$71.03
Jul 2026-$2.9K
Aug 2026-$1.9K
Sep 2026+$1.4K
Oct 2026+$1.90

How they build positions

Trimmed a position91%
Closed a position9%

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