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Stats as of

0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186

0xb4f978be63cdf75554b0b46a4262a6db597cc9a7

+$1.0M
Tracked Trades
1,751
First Seen
Aug 22, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 26, 2026
Best In Soccer
67% won · 135 settled · +$1.1M

0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186 is a Polymarket trader with 1,751 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 853 wins and 868 losses on settled markets, $1.0M net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 240.5 on Oct 26.

Win rate
50%
Return on settled
+8%
Money traded
$12.7M
Typical trade
$3.4K
Avg entry
48¢
Polymarket rank
#78

Profit over time

+$1.10M-$774.2K
Aug 22Oct 26

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6114%14%+0 pts
20 to 40¢18730%40%+10 pts
40 to 60¢131851%49%-2 pts
60 to 80¢13967%69%+1 pts
Over 80¢4689%93%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$100 to $1.4K43850%-$4.6K
$1.4K to $3.4K43849%+$100.4K
$3.4K to $7.9K43846%-$183.4K
$7.9K to $130K43753%+$1.1M

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL53950%+$126.8K
College football75248%-$191.3K
Soccer13567%+$1.1M
Baseball12739%+$26.6K
NBA7753%+$39.9K
Tennis11950%-$101.3K

Side taken

Yes 85%15% No

If you had copied 0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$715
Profit
on $57600 staked
289-287
Record
50% win rate
+1%
Return
Profit over time576 settled trades
+$1.0K-$2.0K
Aug 17Oct 26
-$3.7K
Max drawdown
249% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.02×
Profit factor
$29.4K won vs $28.7K lost
+0.2 pts
Edge vs implied
50% won at 50¢ avg
Longest losing streak
12
Deepest drawdown
246 trades

By category

culture41 settled+6%
sports534 settled+1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 240.5
Oct 26
Under53¢$4.8K+$4.2K
Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)
Oct 26, 2 fills
Chiefs60¢$8.5K-$8.5K
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
Oct 26, 2 fills
Chiefs52¢$36.4K-$36.4K
See every position across 555 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
    $133.8K on Yes at 26¢, Oct 21
    +$380.8K
  2. 2
    Colts vs. Vikings
    $426.3K on Vikings at 57¢, Oct 25
    +$317.8K
  3. 3
    Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5
    $338.6K on Under at 53¢, Oct 25
    +$297.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Colts vs. Vikings57¢8100%+$317.8K
Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.553¢8100%+$297.0K
Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 53.551¢20%-$259.2K
Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.550¢10100%+$232.6K
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?60¢2100%+$154.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 29Oct 26

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$48.8K
Sep 2026-$56.3K
Oct 2026+$1.0M

How they build positions

Opened a new position87%
Added to a position11%
Closed a position2%

Polymarket leaderboards

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