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Stats as of

tnl

0xb619ed5b378053f8309c307d2f7adf9c13665068

+$18.3K
Tracked Trades
290
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 1, 2026
Best In Soccer
61% won · 242 settled · +$8.6K

tnl is a Polymarket trader with 290 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 155 wins and 96 losses on settled markets, $18.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? on Nov 1.

Win rate
62%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$451.1K
Typical trade
$1.1K
Avg entry
51¢
Polymarket rank
#1,254

Profit over time

+$33.2K+$0.00
Aug 20Nov 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1313%0%-13 pts
20 to 40¢3431%42%+11 pts
40 to 60¢9551%44%-7 pts
60 to 80¢9770%79%+9 pts
Over 80¢5186%95%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$504 to $6847359%+$1.2K
$689 to $1.1K7365%+$1.5K
$1.1K to $1.9K7255%+$102.45
$1.9K to $9.0K7270%+$15.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer25161%+$6.1K
World politics2671%+$1.4K
Commodities6100%+$10.7K
Companies3100%+$180.00
Economic data2+$0.00
US politics1+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 57%43% No

If you had copied tnl

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$352.79
Profit
on $15,700.00 staked
93-64
Record
59% win rate
+2%
Return
18 still open
Profit over time157 settled trades
+$872.29+$0.00
Aug 17Nov 2
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
78% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.06×
Profit factor
$6.8K won vs $6.4K lost
+2.8 pts
Edge vs implied
59% won at 56¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
61 trades

By category

politics6 settled+38%
culture66 settled+12%
sports83 settled-7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

17 open positions worth $69.5K

The markets tnl is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what tnl is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
Nov 1
Yes29¢$671.15-$671.15
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
Oct 31
FC Barcelona56¢$1.4K+$1.1K
FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score
Oct 30, 3 fills
Yes66¢$1.7K+$897.96
See every position across 174 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16?
    $3.0K on Yes at 26¢, Sep 15
    +$8.6K
  2. 2
    Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
    $13.4K on No at 67¢, Sep 11
    +$6.6K
  3. 3
    England vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
    $3.0K on Over at 33¢, Sep 26
    +$6.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?79¢5100%+$2.1K
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?89¢2+$0.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?80¢2100%+$4.1K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?67¢2100%+$6.6K
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-10?90¢5100%+$1.3K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 4Nov 1

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$2.3K
Sep 2026+$27.9K
Oct 2026-$11.3K
Nov 2026-$671.15

How they build positions

Opened a new position63%
Added to a position19%
Trimmed a position12%
Closed a position7%

Polymarket leaderboards

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