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Stats as of
Polymarketdefiance-cr
0xb84ca5f197a73429f608842cd75ebbc7c578e169
+$1.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Sep 5, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 3, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 75% won · 277 settled · +$1.6K
defiance-cr is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 402 wins and 275 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET on Oct 3.
- Win rate
- 59%
- Return on settled
- +7%
- Money traded
- $24.0K
- Typical trade
- $8
- Avg entry
- 50¢
- Polymarket rank
- #7,843
Profit over time
+$1.9K-$196
Sep 5Oct 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢18612%7%-5 pts
20 to 40¢27129%28%+0 pts
40 to 60¢15248%58%+9 pts
60 to 80¢27470%74%+4 pts
Over 80¢11785%91%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $425037%-$62
$4 to $825067%-$45
$8 to $3825055%+$417
$38 to $24325071%+$1.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin27775%+$1.6K
Other politics56638%-$15
Ethereum7684%+$40
XRP2322%-$120
Solana1155%-$10
Other crypto3754%-$10
Side taken
Yes 54%46% No
If you had copied defiance-cr
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$188
Profit
on $67700 staked
402-275
Record
59% win rate
-0%
Return
+$875-$1.7K
Aug 31Sep 28
-$2.7K
Max drawdown
502% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.99×
Profit factor
$27.3K won vs $27.5K lost
+3.5 pts
Edge vs implied
59% won at 56¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 191 trades
By category
crypto424 settled+6%
politics252 settled-12%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Oct 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Oct 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Oct 3
Biggest wins
- 1+$311Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$134 on Yes at 30¢, Sep 17
- 2+$224Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$40 on Yes at 15¢, Sep 14
- 3+$197Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?$64 on Yes at 25¢, Sep 25
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?21¢300%-$174
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?63¢733%-$146
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?74¢3100%+$116
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?71¢3100%+$126
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?74¢14100%+$66
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 6Oct 3
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$1.7K
Oct 2026-$290
Polymarket leaderboards
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