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Stats as of

Zhangmuzhiholy

0xb96a0102425dcb20a59814d5020702c03548000b

+$1.8K
Tracked Trades
324
First Seen
Jan 6, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 29, 2026
Best In Tech and AI
98% won · 53 settled · +$818.32

This trader is a closer

64% of this trader's buys are at 95¢ or higher, on outcomes that are nearly decided. The win rate is high because the odds are short: copying them risks 95¢ or more to make 5¢ or less. If you want better odds, skip their 95¢+ buys or pick someone else.

Zhangmuzhiholy is a Polymarket trader with 324 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 203 wins and 20 losses on settled markets, $1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? on Oct 29.

Win rate
91%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$149.7K
Typical trade
$85.88
Avg entry
93¢
Polymarket rank
#3,012

Profit over time

+$1.8K-$174.00
Jan 6Oct 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢433%30%+27 pts
20 to 40¢2130%78%+48 pts
40 to 60¢2050%63%+12 pts
60 to 80¢1369%33%-35 pts
Over 80¢22797%98%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $238163%+$554.38
$24 to $868189%+$50.94
$86 to $3088196%+$310.80
$309 to $11K81100%+$883.65

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tech and AI6198%+$818.32
Other crypto3894%+$314.44
World politics2594%-$179.88
NBA4874%+$91.51
Weather6094%+$788.72
Companies1686%-$9.62

Side taken

Yes 51%49% No

If you had copied Zhangmuzhiholy

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$5,373.32
Profit
on $6,600.00 staked
66-0
Record
100% win rate
+81%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time66 settled trades
+$5.4K+$0.00
Aug 17Oct 26
None
Max drawdown
never fell below its peak
—
Return / drawdown
no dip to weigh against
—
Profit factor
nothing lost yet
+7.5 pts
Edge vs implied
100% won at 92¢ avg
Longest losing streak
0
Deepest drawdown
0 trades

By category

culture45 settled+112%
crypto10 settled+33%
finance7 settled+4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $78.00

The markets Zhangmuzhiholy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Zhangmuzhiholy is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?
Oct 29
Yes3¢$11.00+$410.54
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?
Oct 29
No100¢$79.92+$0.08
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?
Oct 27
Yes99¢$421.00+$4.25
See every position across 218 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 32 be less than 0.1?
    $202.00 on No at 23¢, Aug 21
    +$687.98
  2. 2
    Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?
    $11.00 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 29
    +$410.54
  3. 3
    Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
    $118.93 on Yes at 40¢, Feb 3
    +$181.34
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?100¢2100%+$11.05
Umia listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?100¢1100%+$10.70
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?100¢2100%+$8.20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?1+$0.00
Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?100¢3100%+$4.51

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 1Oct 29

Profit by month

Jan 2026+$42.05
Feb 2026+$8.29
Mar 2026-$114.31
Apr 2026+$86.53
May 2026+$74.16
Jun 2026+$16.86
Jul 2026-$287.16
Aug 2026+$823.55
Sep 2026+$199.02
Oct 2026+$950.78

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