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Stats as of
PolymarketThPato
0xbd4fe11144b841cbf810b3d1bf8019590382adc6
+$6.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 419
- First Seen
- Sep 26, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 23, 2026
- Best In Soccer
- 75% won · 471 settled · +$3.2K
ThPato is a Polymarket trader with 419 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 303 wins and 100 losses on settled markets, $6.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Araz Nakhchivan PFK vs. Gabala FK: O/U 2.5 on Oct 23.
- Win rate
- 75%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $246.0K
- Typical trade
- $699
- Avg entry
- 77¢
- Polymarket rank
- #2,390
Profit over time
+$10.1K-$4.0K
Sep 26Oct 23
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢416%0%-16 pts
20 to 40¢1032%43%+11 pts
40 to 60¢4851%62%+11 pts
60 to 80¢20973%74%+1 pts
Over 80¢14884%85%+1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$2 to $9910564%+$190
$99 to $69910577%+$731
$705 to $1.0K10584%+$8.3K
$1.0K to $2.0K10476%-$3.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer41975%+$6.1K
Side taken
Yes 38%62% No
If you had copied ThPato
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1230
Profit
on $40300 staked
303-100
Record
75% win rate
+3%
Return
+$1.2K+$0
Sep 21Oct 19
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
176% below peak
1.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.12×
Profit factor
$11.2K won vs $10.0K lost
+2.0 pts
Edge vs implied
75% won at 73¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 104 trades
By category
sports401 settled+3%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Araz Nakhchivan PFK vs. Gabala FK: O/U 2.5
Oct 23, 3 fills
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FK Kudrivka: O/U 2.5
Oct 23
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5
Oct 23, 5 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.0KIndependiente Santa Fe vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC: O/U 1.5$2.0K on Over at 50¢, Oct 22
- 2+$1.5KSC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5$1.9K on Over at 56¢, Oct 19
- 3+$1.2KArarat-Armenia FA vs. AZ: 1st Half O/U 0.5$4.0K on Over at 77¢, Oct 22
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?61¢60%-$4.0K
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.571¢60%-$5.6K
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-10-17?72¢4100%+$778
Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.581¢50%-$5.0K
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.581¢5100%+$1.1K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 26Oct 23
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$510
Oct 2026+$6.6K
How they build positions
Closed a position73%
Trimmed a position27%
Polymarket leaderboards
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