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Stats as of

0xbF4d202382

0xbf4d202382ba5702721a8c43126f5f08163733ed

+$42.1K
Tracked Trades
143
First Seen
Aug 21, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 7, 2026
Best In World politics
91% won · 53 settled · +$20.2K

0xbF4d202382 is a Polymarket trader with 143 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 73 wins and 5 losses on settled markets, $42.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? on Oct 7.

Win rate
94%
Return on settled
+38%
Money traded
$219.8K
Typical trade
$1.1K
Avg entry
62¢
Polymarket rank
#725

Profit over time

+$42.1K+$0.00
Aug 21Oct 7

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢1734%
40 to 60¢3547%100%+53 pts
60 to 80¢5668%88%+20 pts
Over 80¢3586%100%+14 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$208 to $6703683%+$3.0K
$690 to $1.1K36100%+$3.2K
$1.2K to $1.8K36100%+$17.0K
$1.8K to $7.0K3594%+$18.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics9491%+$20.2K
Economic data15+$0.00
Other culture26100%+$19.2K
Commodities8100%+$2.7K

Side taken

Yes 46%54% No

If you had copied 0xbF4d202382

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$364.41
Profit
on $1,600.00 staked
14-2
Record
88% win rate
+23%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time16 settled trades
+$364.41+$0.00
Aug 17Oct 5

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 16 so far.

By category

politics15 settled+22%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
Oct 7, 2 fills
No91¢$7.9K+$780.60
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Sep 25, 8 fills
No58¢sold 48¢$3.7K+$2.7K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Sep 22, 42 fills
No74¢sold 58¢$42.8K+$14.9K
See every position across 21 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
    $42.8K on No at 74¢, Sep 6
    +$14.9K
  2. 2
    US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?
    $21.2K on Yes at 64¢, Aug 28
    +$12.0K
  3. 3
    US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
    $6.2K on Yes at 46¢, Aug 22
    +$7.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?74¢42100%+$14.9K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?64¢26100%+$12.0K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?36¢15+$0.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?44¢13100%+$13.3K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?58¢8100%+$2.7K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 10Oct 7

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$32.0K
Sep 2026+$9.4K
Oct 2026+$780.60

How they build positions

Trimmed a position75%
Added to a position16%
Closed a position5%
Opened a new position5%

Polymarket leaderboards

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