rivomarkets

Stats as of

4618

0xbfa41f44e58e10de3c74ad00af749efea6356ba3

-$4.9K
Tracked Trades
1,012
First Seen
Jun 17, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026

4618 is a Polymarket trader with 1,012 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 24 wins and 448 losses on settled markets, -$4.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3? on Oct 2.

Win rate
5%
Return on settled
-10%
Money traded
$103.9K
Typical trade
$22
Avg entry
6¢
Polymarket rank
#7,390

Profit over time

+$24.4K-$7.7K
Jun 17Oct 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢9396%3%-2 pts
20 to 40¢3926%8%-19 pts
40 to 60¢2249%50%+1 pts
60 to 80¢866%100%+34 pts
Over 80¢491%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $72533%-$188
$7 to $222531%-$654
$22 to $782537%+$9.4K
$80 to $2.1K2539%-$13.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin10035%-$4.3K
Ethereum90%-$565

Side taken

Yes 47%53% No

If you had copied 4618

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$32465
Profit
on $29000 staked
12-278
Record
4% win rate
+112%
Return
105 still open
Profit over time290 settled trades
+$46.9K-$1.1K
Jul 13Sep 28
-$15.0K
Max drawdown
32% below peak
2.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.17×
Profit factor
$60.3K won vs $27.8K lost
-1.9 pts
Edge vs implied
4% won at 6¢ avg
Longest losing streak
150
Deepest drawdown
150 trades

By category

crypto290 settled+112%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

38 open positions worth $3.9K

The markets 4618 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 4618 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?
Oct 2, 3 fills
Yes3¢$166-$166
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 3?
Oct 2, 11 fills
Yes2¢$255-$255
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 4?
Oct 2, 6 fills
Yes1¢$79-$79
See every position across 202 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?
    $255 on Yes at 2¢, Sep 20
    +$12.8K
  2. 2
    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?
    $101 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 17
    +$7.7K
  3. 3
    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 21?
    $191 on Yes at 3¢, Aug 19
    +$7.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 27?18¢36+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?30¢100%-$8.2K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?2¢8100%+$12.8K
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?14¢160%-$5.8K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 27?10¢35+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$4.3K
Jul 2026-$3.4K
Aug 2026+$7.0K
Sep 2026-$2.9K
Oct 2026-$1.2K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position100%

Polymarket leaderboards

Similar Polymarket traders

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