Polymarket3iron
0xd03bc280ca482ee48826b72aa435a331a04e042b
+$2.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,018
- First Seen
- Jul 30, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 30, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 57% won · 244 settled · +$7.8K
3iron is a Polymarket trader with 1,018 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 174 wins and 266 losses on settled markets, $2.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will no one dissent the October Fed decision? on Sep 30.
- Win rate
- 40%
- Return on settled
- +6%
- Money traded
- $82.9K
- Typical trade
- $30
- Avg entry
- 37¢
- Polymarket rank
- #4,195
Profit over time
+$3.1K-$2.2K
Aug 1Sep 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2709%18%+8 pts
20 to 40¢13529%43%+13 pts
40 to 60¢23251%47%-4 pts
60 to 80¢19169%62%-7 pts
Over 80¢18192%84%-7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $725325%-$42
$7 to $3025244%+$1.0K
$30 to $7525242%+$733
$75 to $1.3K25252%+$477
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin61157%+$7.8K
XRP1578%-$1.7K
Ethereum9010%-$171
Solana2647%-$3.4K
Economic data7612%-$1.9K
Fed and rates4343%+$1.5K
Side taken
Yes 49%51% No
If you had copied 3iron
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$8052
Profit
on $44000 staked
174-266
Record
40% win rate
+18%
Return
167 still open
+$8.1K-$1.4K
Jul 27Sep 28
-$7.7K
Max drawdown
127% below peak
1.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.30×
Profit factor
$34.7K won vs $26.6K lost
+3.0 pts
Edge vs implied
40% won at 37¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 38
- Deepest drawdown
- 305 trades
By category
crypto375 settled+23%
finance63 settled-4%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
47 open positions worth $12.7K
The markets 3iron is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?
Sep 30
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
Sep 30, 70 fills
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
Sep 28, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.1KWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?$4.7K on No at 48¢, Aug 28
- 2+$4.2KWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?$3.8K on No at 48¢, Sep 30
- 3+$3.5KWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?$603 on Yes at 15¢, Aug 20
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?39¢14357%+$1.8K
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?47¢7395%+$4.1K
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?74¢1367%+$407
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?59¢4883%+$1.1K
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?53¢45+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 3Sep 30
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$2.8K
Sep 2026-$584
How they build positions
Trimmed a position89%
Closed a position11%
Similar Polymarket traders
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