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Stats as of

machbut

0xc2de93c744f3406ff4a67623913d3c6df4116781

+$5.8K
Tracked Trades
255
First Seen
Aug 12, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026

machbut is a Polymarket trader with 255 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 35 wins and 28 losses on settled markets, $5.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? on Nov 4.

Win rate
56%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$1.1M
Typical trade
$1.5K
Avg entry
36¢
Polymarket rank
#2,362

Profit over time

+$44.3K-$25.6K
Aug 22Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6814%0%-14 pts
20 to 40¢7123%0%-23 pts
40 to 60¢2750%22%-28 pts
60 to 80¢7375%100%+25 pts
Over 80¢1691%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $22364+$0.00
$228 to $1.5K6457%-$4.3K
$1.5K to $4.7K6448%-$15.1K
$4.7K to $114K6365%+$25.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections19789%+$31.5K
Esports5850%-$25.6K

Side taken

Yes 73%27% No

If you had copied machbut

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$2.14
Profit
on $800.00 staked
5-3
Record
63% win rate
+0%
Return
4 still open
Profit over time8 settled trades
+$45.36+$0.00
Aug 10Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 8 so far.

By category

sports5 settled+9%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

4 open positions worth $123.8K

The markets machbut is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what machbut is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 2, 4 fills
Yes93¢$242.0K+$17.0K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Nov 2, 4 fills
Yes69¢$36.7K+$16.2K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Oct 29
Yes1¢$1.7K-$1.7K
See every position across 13 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner
    $34.6K on Nigma Galaxy at 56¢, Aug 22
    +$27.2K
  2. 2
    Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
    $242.0K on Yes at 93¢, Nov 2
    +$17.0K
  3. 3
    2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
    $36.7K on Yes at 69¢, Nov 2
    +$16.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?54+$0.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?93¢4100%+$17.0K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?21¢74+$0.00
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner48¢250%-$69.9K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?13¢56+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$25.6K
Oct 2026+$26.2K
Nov 2026+$5.3K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position56%
Opened a new position24%
Added to a position16%
Closed a position4%

Polymarket leaderboards

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