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Stats as of

rdba

0xc4d1a863e9cc45d02ba22d3a1ae9ba7822018ce8

+$22.5K
Tracked Trades
590
First Seen
Jun 18, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 20, 2026
Best In World politics
86% won · 136 settled · +$46.2K

rdba is a Polymarket trader with 590 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 377 wins and 121 losses on settled markets, $22.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? on Oct 20.

Win rate
76%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$11.0M
Typical trade
$1.3K
Avg entry
88¢
Polymarket rank
#972

Profit over time

+$33.0K-$146.8K
Jun 18Jun 17

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢846%5%-1 pts
20 to 40¢6331%38%+6 pts
40 to 60¢7049%57%+7 pts
60 to 80¢6971%80%+9 pts
Over 80¢30495%99%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $20114851%-$253
$203 to $1.3K14877%+$5.9K
$1.3K to $7.8K14786%+$41.3K
$7.9K to $2997K14789%-$24.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics15086%+$46.2K
Entertainment9691%+$31.7K
US elections15174%-$2.0K
US politics2290%+$14.0K
Fed and rates10100%+$9.2K
Bitcoin2335%-$53.7K

Side taken

Yes 52%48% No

If you had copied rdba

$100 per trade, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

No trade from the last 90 days has resolved yet. 3 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $130.7K

The markets rdba is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what rdba is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Jun 17, 3 fills
Yes100¢$3.5M+$3.5K
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Jun 8
No98¢$48.2K+$1.2K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
Jun 5
No99¢$7.4K+$113
See every position across 205 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
    $33.8K on No at 42¢, Mar 17
    +$47.3K
  2. 2
    Will Malmo FF win on 2025-08-28?
    $34.5K on Yes at 43¢, Aug 28
    +$45.8K
  3. 3
    Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
    $12.8K on Yes at 32¢, Nov 21
    +$27.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?100¢3100%+$3.5K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?95¢888%+$5.9K
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?100¢3100%+$1.4K
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?99¢23100%+$5.1K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?99¢3100%+$2.7K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 23Oct 20

Profit by month

Jul 2025-$123.5K
Aug 2025+$64.0K
Sep 2025-$19.1K
Oct 2025+$31.9K
Nov 2025+$27.6K
Dec 2025+$24.2K
Jan 2026+$3.6K
Feb 2026-$8.4K
Mar 2026+$24.5K
Apr 2026+$3.1K
May 2026+$12.8K
Jun 2026+$4.1K

How they build positions

Opened a new position100%

Polymarket leaderboards

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