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Stats as of

Erasmus.

0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784

+$111.9K
Tracked Trades
282
First Seen
Aug 27, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 28, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
39% won · 265 settled · +$111.9K

Erasmus. is a Polymarket trader with 282 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 104 wins and 161 losses on settled markets, $111.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? on Oct 28.

Win rate
39%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$3.3M
Typical trade
$4.2K
Avg entry
50¢
Polymarket rank
#334

Profit over time

+$601.0K+$0.00
Aug 28Oct 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2711%0%-11 pts
20 to 40¢4534%0%-34 pts
40 to 60¢12748%34%-15 pts
60 to 80¢5468%80%+12 pts
Over 80¢2985%100%+15 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $1.9K7114%-$61.5K
$1.9K to $4.2K7125%-$126.6K
$4.2K to $12K7041%-$158.3K
$12K to $126K7076%+$458.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates26539%+$111.9K
US elections2+$0.00
World politics4+$0.00
Companies6+$0.00
Commodities4+$0.00
Other crypto1+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 72%28% No

If you had copied Erasmus.

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$82.46
Profit
on $800.00 staked
4-4
Record
50% win rate
-10%
Return
6 still open
Profit over time8 settled trades
+$200.00-$100.00
Aug 24Oct 26

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 8 so far.

By category

finance8 settled-10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

6 open positions worth $138.9K

The markets Erasmus. is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Erasmus. is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Oct 28, 106 fills
Yes27¢$545.8K-$545.8K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Oct 28, 49 fills
No32¢$204.3K-$204.3K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Oct 16, 12 fills
No63¢$53.3K+$30.7K
See every position across 10 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $1.5M on Yes at 73¢, Sep 16
    +$539.1K
  2. 2
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
    $569.2K on Yes at 71¢, Oct 16
    +$233.0K
  3. 3
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
    $257.9K on No at 62¢, Sep 11
    +$160.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?73¢4798%+$534.1K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?53¢7837%+$28.6K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?28¢11810%-$515.1K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?43¢2277%+$64.3K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?63¢4+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 31Oct 28

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$136.6K
Sep 2026+$212.8K
Oct 2026-$237.4K

How they build positions

Added to a position87%
Opened a new position13%

Polymarket leaderboards

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