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Stats as of

moon-k58-lad

0xc8008c1143351e21a58287163734737632ab4117

+$13.7K
Tracked Trades
443
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
75% won · 195 settled · +$7.7K

moon-k58-lad is a Polymarket trader with 443 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 296 wins and 123 losses on settled markets, $13.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House on Nov 4.

Win rate
71%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$350.1K
Typical trade
$665.15
Avg entry
66¢
Polymarket rank
#1,635

Profit over time

+$25.9K-$2.9K
Aug 20Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢113%
20 to 40¢2334%19%-15 pts
40 to 60¢10652%53%+1 pts
60 to 80¢13970%75%+5 pts
Over 80¢17489%85%-4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$271 to $56711154%-$11.0K
$567 to $66511169%-$4.7K
$665 to $84211174%+$4.8K
$848 to $3.8K11086%+$24.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin19575%+$7.7K
Soccer13074%+$4.0K
Esports4952%-$7.2K
Tennis15100%+$2.9K
Fed and rates1529%-$3.3K
Baseball1671%+$1.4K

Side taken

Yes 59%41% No

If you had copied moon-k58-lad

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$836.17
Profit
on $17,700.00 staked
122-55
Record
69% win rate
-5%
Return
Profit over time177 settled trades
+$131.03-$1.1K
Aug 17Nov 2
-$1.7K
Max drawdown
371% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.85×
Profit factor
$4.7K won vs $5.5K lost
-3.0 pts
Edge vs implied
69% won at 72¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
117 trades

By category

culture16 settled+1%
crypto88 settled-2%
sports66 settled-7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Nov 4
Sold Yessold 13¢$710.58Exited
Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
Nov 3
Sold Nosold 100¢$776.22Exited
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?
Nov 3
Yes87¢$609.00+$91.00
See every position across 187 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Wyoming vs. Central Michigan
    $7.6K on Central Michigan at 49¢, Sep 19
    +$7.9K
  2. 2
    Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12?
    $6.8K on No at 54¢, Sep 12
    +$5.8K
  3. 3
    Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
    $6.8K on Down at 57¢, Sep 23
    +$5.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?63¢950%+$973.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET65¢8100%+$5.1K
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11PM ET91¢8100%+$780.68
Wyoming vs. Central Michigan49¢2100%+$7.9K
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06?86¢60%-$6.9K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$5.7K
Sep 2026+$14.7K
Oct 2026-$6.9K
Nov 2026+$192.10

How they build positions

Opened a new position40%
Closed a position33%
Trimmed a position20%
Added to a position7%

Polymarket leaderboards

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