rivomarkets

mantou11

0x54dbe14d342f129be293df83a12515065b6c0174

+$2.2K
Tracked Trades
909
First Seen
Oct 28, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 30, 2026
Best In Economic data
65% won · 17 settled · +$2.4K

mantou11 is a Polymarket trader with 909 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 50 wins and 45 losses on settled markets, $2.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026? on Sep 30.

Win rate
53%
Return on settled
+12%
Money traded
$147.5K
Typical trade
$41
Avg entry
36¢
Polymarket rank
#1,801

Profit over time

+$2.2K-$182
Apr 5Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3518%19%+10 pts
20 to 40¢13930%35%+5 pts
40 to 60¢10550%54%+4 pts
60 to 80¢9571%67%-4 pts
Over 80¢21594%91%-3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $822723%+$17
$9 to $4122648%+$18
$41 to $13222637%-$764
$133 to $10.0K226100%+$2.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics46748%-$442
Companies121+$0
Entertainment25+$0
Bitcoin1220%-$127
Economic data13865%+$2.4K
Weather14100%+$338

Side taken

Yes 54%46% No

If you had copied mantou11

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1578
Profit
on $9000 staked
50-40
Record
56% win rate
+18%
Return
187 still open
Profit over time90 settled trades
+$1.6K+$0
Jun 29Sep 28
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
189% below peak
1.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.39×
Profit factor
$5.6K won vs $4.0K lost
+3.0 pts
Edge vs implied
56% won at 53¢ avg
Longest losing streak
11
Deepest drawdown
37 trades

By category

finance17 settled+120%
crypto7 settled+58%
politics61 settled-18%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

110 open positions worth $10.3K

The markets mantou11 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what mantou11 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?
Sep 30, 3 fills
No89¢$2.7K+$338
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?
Sep 30, 4 fills
Yes44¢sold 48¢$680Reduced
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?
Sep 30
No49¢$111Open
See every position across 415 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?
    $326 on Yes at 22¢, Sep 21
    +$1.1K
  2. 2
    Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?
    $283 on Yes at 28¢, Sep 28
    +$732
  3. 3
    Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30?
    $530 on No at 58¢, Sep 7
    +$377
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?100¢1+$0
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?87¢16+$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?97¢2+$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?80¢4+$0
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?100¢1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 3Sep 30

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$7
Jun 2026-$3
Jul 2026-$49
Aug 2026+$163
Sep 2026+$2.1K

Similar Polymarket traders

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