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Stats as of

op40

0xd3acfbf173452e1a73f976b2fd543d203e11c991

+$3.6K
Tracked Trades
199
First Seen
Feb 3, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026
Best In NBA
80% won ยท 15 settled ยท +$3.6K

op40 is a Polymarket trader with 199 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 60 wins and 13 losses on settled markets, $3.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage on Oct 22.

Win rate
82%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$422.0K
Typical trade
$600
Avg entry
77ยข
Polymarket rank
#1,961

Profit over time

+$5.3K-$369
Feb 3Oct 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข510%0%-10 pts
20 to 40ยข931%0%-31 pts
40 to 60ยข2448%67%+19 pts
60 to 80ยข1767%100%+33 pts
Over 80ยข14496%98%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1485081%-$1
$150 to $6005079%+$1.1K
$633 to $1.8K5076%-$3.8K
$1.9K to $23K49100%+$6.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates8697%+$1.6K
World politics6088%+$1.1K
Hockey5100%+$3
NBA2375%+$1.9K
Entertainment3+$0
Economic data1540%+$2.4K

Side taken

Yes 20%80% No

If you had copied op40

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$281
Profit
on $1200 staked
7-5
Record
58% win rate
+23%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time12 settled trades
+$281-$200
Aug 3Oct 19

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 12 so far.

By category

sports12 settled+23%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Oct 22
Bilibili Gaming81ยข$1.3K-$1.3K
Hornets vs. Nets
Oct 21, 6 fills
Hornets46ยขsold 46ยข$3.2K+$3.8K
Thunder vs. Spurs
Oct 21
Spurs45ยข$135-$135
See every position across 34 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Hornets vs. Nets
    $3.2K on Hornets at 46ยข, Oct 21
    +$3.8K
  2. 2
    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
    $6.0K on No at 64ยข, Apr 18
    +$3.4K
  3. 3
    Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
    $11.7K on No at 85ยข, Mar 5
    +$2.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?92ยข5895%+$771
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?98ยข14100%+$595
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?98ยข7100%+$12
US forces enter Iran by March 31?99ยข5100%+$64
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$369
Mar 2026+$3.0K
Apr 2026+$344
Oct 2026+$634

How they build positions

Trimmed a position100%

Polymarket leaderboards

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